Paul Dales

Last updated on 2017-10-25T10:05+0300.

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Paul Dales said : “The most worrying thing for me is that those people set to suffer most are already at the lower end of the income spectrum,” External link

independent-UK Wednesday, July 27, 2022 10:16:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “We still think inflation will rise to 12% in October and that interest rates will be raised from 1.25% to 3%, although it’s finely balanced whether they rise by 25bps or 50bps in August,” External link

guardian Wednesday, July 20, 2022 7:35:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales souligne : "Nous pensons que l'inflation élevée signifie que la Banque d'Angleterre va continuer à monter ses taux d'intérêt de 1,25% actuellement à 3% même si l'économie est en récession" External link

france24 Wednesday, July 20, 2022 12:50:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales souligne : "Nous pensons que l'inflation élevée signifie que la Banque d'Angleterre va continuer à monter ses taux d'intérêt de 1,25% actuellement à 3% même si l'économie est en récession" External link

challenges Wednesday, July 20, 2022 12:19:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The recent resilience of GDP to the drag from the high rate of inflation probably won't last and there is still a big risk that the economy falls into recession," External link

chinadaily Thursday, July 14, 2022 8:55:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales added : "a recession is still a real risk," External link

chinadaily Thursday, July 14, 2022 8:55:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The recent resilience of GDP to the drag from the high rate of inflation probably won't last and there is still a big risk that the economy falls into recession," External link

irishsun Thursday, July 14, 2022 12:03:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales added : "a recession is still a real risk," External link

irishsun Thursday, July 14, 2022 12:03:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The recent resilience of GDP to the drag from the high rate of inflation probably won't last and there is still a big risk that the economy falls into recession," External link

xinhuanet_en Wednesday, July 13, 2022 7:00:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales added : "a recession is still a real risk," External link

xinhuanet_en Wednesday, July 13, 2022 7:00:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “It is far too soon to conclude that the economy will be able to get through this period of unusually high inflation largely unscathed,” “With real household disposable incomes set to fall further in the third quarter, a recession is still a real risk” External link

themalaymailonline Wednesday, July 13, 2022 11:00:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "It is far too soon to conclude that the economy will be able to get through this period of unusually high inflation largely unscathed," "With real household disposable incomes set to fall further in the third quarter, a recession is still a real risk" External link

afp-en Wednesday, July 13, 2022 10:06:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "If the Bank starts to lag behind, then that would probably increase the downward pressure on the pound," External link

ara-reuters Wednesday, June 15, 2022 1:57:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales wrote ( about Boris Johnson ) : "After winning tonight's confidence vote, the Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, may double down on Brexit and loosen fiscal policy further to try to boost his political standing," External link

reuters-af Tuesday, June 7, 2022 1:03:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The extra fiscal support for households revealed by the chancellor today falls short of fully offsetting the reduction to households’ real incomes from higher utility prices, but it will cushion the blow and support economic activity,” External link

aljazeera-en Thursday, May 26, 2022 7:01:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The extra fiscal support for households revealed by the Chancellor today falls short of fully offsetting the reduction to households' real incomes from higher utility prices, but it will cushion the blow and support economic activity," External link

ibtimes Thursday, May 26, 2022 5:32:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The lower-than-expected public borrowing of £18.6bn in April and the downward revisions to borrowing in 2021-22 will only add to the pressure on the chancellor to go big when finalising the imminent support package for households," External link

yahoo-au Tuesday, May 24, 2022 1:28:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The lower-than-expected public borrowing of £18.6bn in April and the downward revisions to borrowing in 2021-22 will only add to the pressure on the chancellor to go big when finalising the imminent support package for households," External link

bbc Tuesday, May 24, 2022 1:02:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales added : "That said, we suspect that the effects on the public finances of higher inflation, higher interest rates and weaker GDP growth will prevent a big undershoot this year and may in fact erode some of the £27bn (1.0% of GDP) of headroom the Chancellor has against his main fiscal mandate," External link

rttnews Tuesday, May 24, 2022 11:59:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The lower-than-expected public borrowing of £18.6bn in April and the downward revisions to borrowing in 2021/22 will only add to the pressure on the chancellor to go big when finalising the imminent support package for households," External link

news-yahoo Tuesday, May 24, 2022 10:16:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The lower-than-expected public borrowing of £18.6bn in April and the downward revisions to borrowing in 2021/22 will only add to the pressure on the chancellor to go big when finalising the imminent support package for households," External link

yahoo-au Tuesday, May 24, 2022 10:02:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Things are going to get worse before they get better,” External link

cyprus-mail Wednesday, May 18, 2022 10:52:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Things are going to get worse before they get better," External link

economictimes Wednesday, May 18, 2022 10:29:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Things are going to get worse before they get better," External link

reuters-af Wednesday, May 18, 2022 9:51:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Previous bouts of inflation we've had were mainly concentrated on individual items like petrol which you could try and avoid," External link

mninews Wednesday, May 18, 2022 9:28:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Previous bouts of inflation we've had were mainly concentrated on individual items like petrol which you could try and avoid," External link

reuters-af Wednesday, May 18, 2022 4:49:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales noted : "suggest the economy had less momentum than we thought even before the full hit from the cost-of-living crisis has been felt" External link

thedailystarBD Thursday, May 12, 2022 11:47:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “suggest the economy had less momentum than we thought even before the full hit from the cost of living crisis has been felt,” External link

financialexpress Thursday, May 12, 2022 3:28:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Suddenly, our forecasts that GDP will be flat in both the second quarter and the third quarter seem pretty optimistic,” External link

guardian Thursday, May 12, 2022 2:41:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Suddenly, our forecasts that GDP will be flat in both the second quarter and the third quarter seem pretty optimistic,” External link

guardian Thursday, May 12, 2022 1:30:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "suggest the economy had less momentum than we thought even before the full hit from the cost of living crisis has been felt," External link

portstephensexaminer Thursday, May 12, 2022 12:50:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "suggest the economy had less momentum than we thought even before the full hit from the cost of living crisis has been felt," External link

maitlandmercury Thursday, May 12, 2022 12:12:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “suggest the economy had less momentum than we thought even before the full hit from the cost of living crisis has been felt,” External link

seattlepi Thursday, May 12, 2022 12:04:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “suggest the economy had less momentum than we thought even before the full hit from the cost of living crisis has been felt,” External link

wral Thursday, May 12, 2022 11:51:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales noted : "suggest the economy had less momentum than we thought even before the full hit from the cost-of-living crisis has been felt" External link

news-yahoo Thursday, May 12, 2022 10:26:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “By focusing on containing any second-round effects on wages and prices, the Bank risks tipping the economy into recession,” External link

guardian Tuesday, May 3, 2022 9:06:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The further tightening in the labour market will only encourage the Bank of England to raise interest rates on Thursday ... despite the coming extra hit to households' real incomes from the war in Ukraine," External link

ibtimes Tuesday, March 15, 2022 12:10:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The economic consequences of the war in Ukraine have worsened the already tricky mix between soaring inflation and slowing GDP growth," External link

reuters-af Tuesday, March 15, 2022 4:41:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said ( about The UK ) : "The cost of living crisis and the influence of the war in Ukraine probably means this is as good as it gets for the year," External link

heraldscotland Friday, March 11, 2022 7:04:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The cost of living crisis and the influence of the war in Ukraine probably means this is as good as it gets for the year," External link

ibtimes Friday, March 11, 2022 2:38:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The cost of living crisis and the influence of the war in Ukraine probably means this is as good as it gets for the year," External link

ibtimes Friday, March 11, 2022 1:01:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “will exacerbate the cost-of-living crisis by reducing households’ real incomes” External link

express Friday, March 11, 2022 2:34:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The ECB’s monetary policy statement signalled it is more concerned about a further sharp rise in inflation than the negative shock to demand which will result from the war in Ukraine,” External link

thenational Thursday, March 10, 2022 7:04:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “But it is worth considering the other plausible scenarios, which could prompt the Bank to delay interest rate hikes or even raise interest rates faster,” “It is obviously very uncertain how the Russia/Ukraine conflict will develop, but it feels as though it could be more protracted and have more widespread consequences than appeared likely last week” External link

guardian Tuesday, March 1, 2022 2:55:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "increase in CPI inflation... will add a bit more pressure on the Bank of England to continue raising interest rates rapidly" External link

thedailystarBD Thursday, February 17, 2022 6:40:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “increase in CPI inflation… will add a bit more pressure on the Bank of England to continue raising interest rates rapidly” External link

citizen Thursday, February 17, 2022 4:17:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “increase in CPI inflation… will add a bit more pressure on the Bank of England to continue raising interest rates rapidly” External link

kuwaittimes Wednesday, February 16, 2022 8:40:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “will add more pressure on the Bank of England to raise interest rates rapidly,” External link

wivb Wednesday, February 16, 2022 7:07:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “will add more pressure on the Bank of England to raise interest rates rapidly,” External link

click2houston Wednesday, February 16, 2022 3:17:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "increase in CPI inflation... will add a bit more pressure on the Bank of England to continue raising interest rates rapidly" External link

afp-en Wednesday, February 16, 2022 1:37:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "increase in CPI inflation... will add a bit more pressure on the Bank of England to continue raising interest rates rapidly" External link

ibtimes Wednesday, February 16, 2022 12:26:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "increase in CPI inflation... will add a bit more pressure on the Bank of England to continue raising interest rates rapidly" External link

news-yahoo Wednesday, February 16, 2022 12:02:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “increase in CPI inflation... will add a bit more pressure on the Bank of England to continue raising interest rates rapidly” External link

themalaymailonline Wednesday, February 16, 2022 11:34:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "increase in CPI inflation... will add a bit more pressure on the Bank of England to continue raising interest rates rapidly" External link

afp-en Wednesday, February 16, 2022 10:38:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “It’s no secret that inflation is going to rise even further” External link

themirror Saturday, February 12, 2022 2:22:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales concluded ( about The UK ) : "The Bank has become more hawkish, but it doesn't appear to be signalling it intends to raise interest rates very rapidly," External link

afp-en Thursday, February 3, 2022 5:04:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales wrote : "That should have been brought into focus by this week’s news that CPI inflation rose to a 30-year high of 5.4% in December," External link

irishexaminer Friday, January 21, 2022 9:37:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Inflation is close to being further above the target than at any point since Britain started targeting inflation in October 1992," External link

arkansasonline Thursday, December 16, 2021 11:03:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "This makes tomorrow's interest rate decision look closer, but on balance we think the Bank of England is more likely to keep rates at 0.1% until it learns more about the Omicron situation," External link

4-traders Wednesday, December 15, 2021 7:38:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Inflation is close to being further above the target than at any point since the U.K. started targeting inflation in October 1992,” External link

theepochtimes Wednesday, December 15, 2021 7:11:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Inflation is close to being further above the target than at any point since the UK started targeting inflation in October 1992," External link

sinacom-en Wednesday, December 15, 2021 6:05:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales added : "This makes tomorrow's interest rate decision look closer, but on balance we think the Bank of England is more likely to keep rates at 0.10 percent until it learns more about the Omicron situation," External link

sinacom-en Wednesday, December 15, 2021 6:05:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Inflation is close to being further above the target than at any point since the U.K. started targeting inflation in October 1992,” External link

seattlepi Wednesday, December 15, 2021 3:57:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Inflation is close to being further above the target than at any point since the U.K. started targeting inflation in October 1992,” External link

mynews13 Wednesday, December 15, 2021 3:39:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "This makes tomorrow's interest rate decision look closer, but on balance we think the Bank of England is more likely to keep rates at 0.1% until it learns more about the Omicron situation," External link

skynews Wednesday, December 15, 2021 12:41:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Even though the fallout after the furlough scheme was smaller and shorter than the Bank of England had feared, concerns over the deteriorating COVID-19 situation will probably prevent it from raising interest rates this Thursday,” External link

click2houston Tuesday, December 14, 2021 2:00:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The transmissibility, severity and capacity for Omicron to escape vaccines are still unknown,” “But if Omicron leads the government to close non-essential retail, hospitality venues and schools, we think GDP would fall by something like 3%. As has been the case in previous lockdowns, that would boost demand for goods relative to demand for services, which may keep goods inflation higher for longer” External link

guardian Thursday, December 9, 2021 9:03:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “If the chancellor didn’t revive the furlough scheme the fall in the economy would be bigger or last longer” External link

guardian Wednesday, December 8, 2021 11:32:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “They [companies] may have managed to get the products they want, but not necessarily the labour to distribute them,” External link

independent-UK Thursday, December 2, 2021 5:52:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The variant offers an almighty incentive for the Bank not to raise rates now,” External link

independent-UK Thursday, December 2, 2021 5:52:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The rebound in retail sales in October and the further improvement in the public finances will add to expectations that the Bank of England will raise interest rates from 0.10 per cent to 0.25 per cent in December,” External link

cyprus-mail Friday, November 19, 2021 4:49:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The rebound in retail sales in October and the further improvement in the public finances will add to expectations that the Bank of England will raise interest rates from 0.10% to 0.25% in December," External link

news-yahoo Friday, November 19, 2021 11:40:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "That said, we still think the markets have gone too far by pricing in interest rates rising to 1.00-1.25 percent by the end of next year," External link

ecns Thursday, November 18, 2021 5:40:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "That said, we still think the markets have gone too far by pricing in interest rates rising to 1.00-1.25 percent by the end of next year," External link

sinacom-en Wednesday, November 17, 2021 6:22:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales estima : “vuelve aún más probable un aumento de las tasas de interés en diciembre” External link

monumental Wednesday, November 17, 2021 5:28:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales commenté : "rend encore plus probable une hausse des taux d'intérêts en décembre" External link

capital-FR Wednesday, November 17, 2021 11:18:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Today’s release has given the Bank an amber light and the next labour market release will probably give it the green light to raise interest rates from 0.1% to 0.25%,” External link

guardian Tuesday, November 16, 2021 3:12:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "We’re not too worried about this being a sign of excess," External link

zerohedge Thursday, November 11, 2021 4:58:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales estime : "Il y a de fortes chances que la BoE relève son taux" External link

capital-FR Thursday, November 4, 2021 10:17:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "appears more worried about the upside risks to inflation from rising underlying wage growth and higher inflation expectations than... a month ago" External link

thedailystarBD Tuesday, November 2, 2021 10:44:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “appears more worried about the upside risks to inflation from rising underlying wage growth and higher inflation expectations than… a month ago” External link

TheFrontierPost-en Tuesday, November 2, 2021 6:40:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “appears more worried about the upside risks to inflation from rising underlying wage growth and higher inflation expectations than... a month ago” External link

themalaymailonline Tuesday, November 2, 2021 8:01:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "appears more worried about the upside risks to inflation from rising underlying wage growth and higher inflation expectations than... a month ago" External link

news-yahoo Tuesday, November 2, 2021 6:10:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "appears more worried about the upside risks to inflation from rising underlying wage growth and higher inflation expectations than... a month ago" External link

afp-en Tuesday, November 2, 2021 5:54:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The rumors are that the Chancellor will still keep a very tight grip on the public finances in next Wednesday’s budget to try and bring down borrowing even quicker and build a fiscal war chest to deploy ahead of the 2024 election,” External link

theepochtimes Thursday, October 21, 2021 5:58:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The rumours are that the Chancellor will still keep a very tight grip on the public finances in next Wednesday’s budget to try and bring down borrowing even quicker and build a fiscal war chest to deploy ahead of the 2024 election,” External link

cyprus-mail Thursday, October 21, 2021 2:21:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “As the dip… still left inflation above the 3.0-percent rate the BoE forecast back in August, it’s unlikely to significantly reduce expectations that the BoE will raise interest rates before the end of the year,” External link

TheFrontierPost-en Wednesday, October 20, 2021 7:11:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "As the dip... still left inflation above the 3.0-percent rate the BoE forecast back in August, it's unlikely to significantly reduce expectations that the BoE will raise interest rates before the end of the year," External link

news-yahoo Wednesday, October 20, 2021 11:04:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said ( about The UK ) : "The 0.4 per cent month-on-month rise in GDP in August confirms that the rapid gains in output, which in just 16 months lifted GDP from being 25.1 per cent below its February 2020 pre-pandemic peak to 0.8 per cent below, are now behind us," External link

business-standard Thursday, October 14, 2021 11:04:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Such drags may have become more widespread and significant in September and October, with the fuel crisis preventing some people from getting to work,” External link

independent-UK Wednesday, October 13, 2021 11:59:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "increases the chances of the Bank of England raising interest rates in the coming months despite other evidence that the economic recovery is spluttering" External link

news-yahoo Tuesday, October 12, 2021 2:53:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "increases the chances of the Bank of England raising interest rates in the coming months despite other evidence that the economic recovery is spluttering" External link

news-yahoo Tuesday, October 12, 2021 1:53:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "As long as the restrictions are eased in the next few months, then there would still be a pretty good chance that COVID-19 won't significantly reduce the future level or growth rate of GDP," External link

trust Friday, June 18, 2021 4:30:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "As long as the restrictions are eased in the next few months, then there would still be a pretty good chance that COVID-19 won't significantly reduce the future level or growth rate of GDP," External link

reuters-af Friday, June 18, 2021 4:28:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "With businesses having raised their prices by more than we expected once they reopened after COVID-19 lockdowns ended, we now think CPI inflation will rise to a peak of 2.9 percent later this year compared to 2.6 percent previously," External link

sinacom-en Wednesday, June 16, 2021 5:16:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales added : "And the further surge in costs earlier in the price pipeline has made us a bit less confident that CPI inflation will drop back below 2.0 percent next year," External link

sinacom-en Wednesday, June 16, 2021 5:16:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "showed that households were particularly keen to update their wardrobes" External link

thenational Friday, May 21, 2021 2:24:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "showed that households were particularly keen to update their wardrobes" External link

thenational Friday, May 21, 2021 11:59:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "March's strong rise in retail sales showed that the economy made a fair bit of progress even before non-essential retailers re-opened in April," External link

4-traders Friday, April 23, 2021 11:34:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales added : "But overall the picture has been positive with good coop from businesses in the main, who enagaged with us positively leading up to the reopening and during the visits that we had this week. " External link

nottinghampost Friday, April 16, 2021 10:51:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "There are mounting signs that the effects on the economy from the third COVID-19 lockdown have started to thaw," External link

chinadaily Wednesday, April 14, 2021 4:39:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “There are mounting signs that the effects on the economy from the third COVID-19 lockdown have started to thaw,” External link

themirror Tuesday, April 13, 2021 6:59:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “There are mounting signs that the effects on the economy from the third COVID-19 lockdown have started to thaw,” External link

reuters-af Tuesday, April 13, 2021 3:22:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "We are sticking to our relatively optimistic view that the reopening of the economy and the vaccine programme will allow gross domestic product)to regain its pre-pandemic level early next year," "While employment may yet fall further between now and the end of the year (not least as the furlough scheme ends in September), our GDP forecasts suggest that employment is not far from a trough and will start to rise late this year" External link

thenational Saturday, April 10, 2021 2:42:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Larger chains like these are typically inspected every two years as they are usually compliant and have internal monitoring systems. Poor performers with high risk food handling get inspected at least every six months to a year. “As has been the case across the country, there have been far fewer food safety inspections taking place during the pandemic, mainly because businesses have been intermittently closed due to Covid restrictions, as well as some food officers being temporarily tasked with Covid inspections and outbreak tracing. “However, the team has continued to inspect high risk premises on site, while for those with a good track record they have carried out ‘remote inspections’ in accordance with Food Standards Agency guidance, following up with on-site visits if necessary. " External link

nottinghampost Monday, April 5, 2021 1:05:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The drag on CPI inflation in February from the COVID-19 lockdown will delay the rebound in inflation to 2.0 percent and perhaps prompt the markets to reconsider their view that interest rates will rise next year," External link

xinhuanet_en Wednesday, March 24, 2021 5:51:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The drag on CPI inflation in February from the COVID-19 lockdown will delay the rebound in inflation to 2.0 percent and perhaps prompt the markets to reconsider their view that interest rates will rise next year," External link

sinacom-en Wednesday, March 24, 2021 5:22:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales noted : “A stronger pound is another headwind for UK exporters and provides some small relief for households,” External link

kuwaittimes Tuesday, February 23, 2021 6:53:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales noted : “A stronger pound is another headwind for UK exporters and provides some small relief for households,” External link

timesofmalta Tuesday, February 23, 2021 11:44:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales commente : «Les exportations britanniques sont toujours moins chères qu’avant le référendum» External link

24heures Tuesday, February 23, 2021 10:35:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales noted : "A stronger pound is another headwind for UK exporters and provides some small relief for households," External link

yahoo-au Tuesday, February 23, 2021 7:08:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "That would knock on the head any lingering hopes of more policy stimulus from the Bank of England, although we doubt it would prompt tighter monetary policy either," External link

xinhuanet_en Wednesday, February 17, 2021 5:35:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "That would knock on the head any lingering hopes of more policy stimulus from the Bank of England, although we doubt it would prompt tighter monetary policy, either," External link

4-traders Wednesday, February 17, 2021 2:33:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Overall, these data highlight how the economy still needs the government’s financial support. The Chancellor should ensure that is the main focus of his Budget on 3rd March and not a desire to reduce the budget deficit by raising taxes,” External link

politico-eu Friday, February 5, 2021 3:25:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Overall, the growing immunity to lockdowns suggests that the economy is not quite as sick as we thought,” External link

gulf-times Friday, January 15, 2021 10:58:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Overall, the growing immunity to lockdowns suggests that the economy is not quite as sick as we thought," External link

4-traders Friday, January 15, 2021 2:46:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "Of course, the near-term outlook for the economy is grim. But we are optimistic that the distribution of vaccines and removal of Covid-19 restrictions will allow GDP to rebound rapidly in the second half of next year," External link

business-times Monday, January 4, 2021 1:41:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales diz : "O acordo remove um freio potencial na recuperação da economia global" External link

jcrs Thursday, December 24, 2020 6:15:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales diz : "O acordo remove um freio potencial na recuperação da economia global" External link

bemparana Thursday, December 24, 2020 6:03:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales wrote : “It’s impossible to know whether the UK /EU decision to blast through another Brexit ‘deadline’ today means a deal has become more likely or whether both sides believe that a no deal is the end destination but just want to show that they are doing all they can to avoid it,” External link

bloomberg Monday, December 14, 2020 12:57:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales wrote : "Back in 1975, Australian households received a bigger share of the economic pie than households in the US, France and New Zealand," "But the downward trend in labour's share of GDP over the past 40 years has been more marked in Australia than in those other countries, apart from New Zealand" External link

abc-au Sunday, December 6, 2020 8:22:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "inflation is well past its crisis low point of 0.2 percent," External link

xinhuanet_en Wednesday, November 18, 2020 6:53:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "While it will rise more significantly from next April, we doubt that it will spend much time above the 2 percent target," External link

xinhuanet_en Wednesday, November 18, 2020 6:53:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The PMIs suggest you shouldn’t read too much into the decent rise in retail sales in September released earlier today,” External link

reuters-uk Sunday, October 25, 2020 11:43:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The PMIs suggest you shouldn't read too much into the decent rise in retail sales in September released earlier today," External link

4-traders Friday, October 23, 2020 1:08:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "it's hard to think of reasons why the Bank of England won't launch another 100 billion pounds (about 129.5 billion U.S. dollars) or so of quantitative easing at the policy meeting on Nov. 5," External link

xinhuanet_en Wednesday, October 21, 2020 4:38:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "give the Bank of England and the Chancellor the green light to do more to support the economy," External link

news-yahoo Wednesday, October 21, 2020 1:59:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "With CPI inflation just 0.5% in September, it's hard to think of reasons why the Bank of England won't launch another £100bn or so of QE at the November meeting. And despite public borrowing still jumping, the government may yet spend more," External link

news-yahoo Wednesday, October 21, 2020 9:37:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The fallout in the labour market from the COVID-19 recession has been worse than previously thought," External link

xinhuanet_en Tuesday, October 13, 2020 6:06:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales added : "With the latest COVID-19 restrictions threatening to stall the economic recovery, if not send it into reverse, the unemployment rate may yet climb to almost 8 percent next year," External link

xinhuanet_en Tuesday, October 13, 2020 6:06:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales noted : “The latest batch of data show that the labour market has been somewhat weaker than previously thought and that the fallout from the Covid-19 recession is intensifying,” External link

ngrguardiannews Tuesday, October 13, 2020 2:38:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales noted : “The latest batch of data show that the labour market has been somewhat weaker than previously thought and that the fallout from the Covid-19 recession is intensifying,” External link

guardian-ng Tuesday, October 13, 2020 2:11:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales noted : “The latest batch of data show that the labour market has been somewhat weaker than previously thought and that the fallout from the Covid-19 recession is intensifying,” External link

onlinenigeria Tuesday, October 13, 2020 2:06:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales noted : "The latest batch of data show that the labour market has been somewhat weaker than previously thought and that the fallout from the Covid-19 recession is intensifying," External link

naharnet-en Tuesday, October 13, 2020 12:28:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The latest batch of data show that the labour market has been somewhat weaker than previously thought and that the fallout from the Covid-19 recession is intensifying," External link

thenational Tuesday, October 13, 2020 12:27:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales noted : “The latest batch of data show that the labour market has been somewhat weaker than previously thought and that the fallout from the Covid-19 recession is intensifying,” External link

themalaymailonline Tuesday, October 13, 2020 11:39:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales noted : “The latest batch of data show that the labor market has been somewhat weaker than previously thought and that the fallout from the Covid-19 recession is intensifying,” External link

tribuneonline Tuesday, October 13, 2020 11:04:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales noted : "The latest batch of data show that the labour market has been somewhat weaker than previously thought and that the fallout from the Covid-19 recession is intensifying," External link

afp-en Tuesday, October 13, 2020 10:02:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "It’s encouraging that the first step in unwinding the furlough scheme has not led to a surge in job losses, but we think it is only a matter of time before that happens," External link

news-yahoo Tuesday, September 15, 2020 9:54:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "All the talk is of using higher taxes to put the public finances on a more stable footing," External link

afp-en Thursday, September 3, 2020 6:51:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said ( about The UK ) : "The UK scheme, in that sense, looks a little bit short, especially when you take into account that the UK's economy is made up of a higher share of sectors that are hampered by social distancing," External link

news-yahoo Tuesday, September 1, 2020 7:50:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said ( about The UK ) : "The UK scheme, in that sense, looks a little bit short, especially when you take into account that the UK's economy is made up of a higher share of sectors that are hampered by social distancing," External link

bbc Tuesday, September 1, 2020 7:13:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said ( about The UK ) : "The UK scheme, in that sense, looks a little bit short, especially when you take into account that the UK's economy is made up of a higher share of sectors that are hampered by social distancing," External link

news-yahoo Tuesday, September 1, 2020 12:36:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said ( about The UK ) : "The UK scheme, in that sense, looks a little bit short, especially when you take into account that the UK's economy is made up of a higher share of sectors that are hampered by social distancing," External link

bbc Tuesday, September 1, 2020 12:23:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said ( about The UK ) : "The UK scheme, in that sense, looks a little bit short, especially when you take into account that the UK's economy is made up of a higher share of sectors that are hampered by social distancing," External link

news-yahoo Tuesday, September 1, 2020 12:03:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : “one of the big questions that will determine the shape of the recovery” External link

economist Thursday, July 16, 2020 7:39:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : “If social distancing were practised for many years, either because it was enforced by governments or fears of future waves of the virus prompted people to implement it anyway, then most of the recent changes to the way we spend, socialise and work will probably be in place for many years too,” External link

telegraph Thursday, June 25, 2020 1:58:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : “That’s partly because they have been forced on people and businesses, partly because the current substitutes aren’t adequate (Zoom drinks rather than pub drinks) and partly because there is a commercial incentive for businesses to cram more employees in an office or more customers in a restaurant,” “Right now it may feel like that old world has disappeared forever. But the historical evidence suggests that after previous significant events, such as pandemics, plagues and terrorist attacks, people reverted to their previous behaviours often within three to six months” External link

telegraph Thursday, June 25, 2020 1:58:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : “If social distancing were practised for many years, either because it was enforced by governments or fears of future waves of the virus prompted people to implement it anyway, then most of the recent changes to the way we spend, socialise and work will probably be in place for many years too,” External link

telegraph Thursday, June 25, 2020 11:11:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales says : “That’s partly because they have been forced on people and businesses, partly because the current substitutes aren’t adequate (Zoom drinks rather than pub drinks) and partly because there is a commercial incentive for businesses to cram more employees in an office or more customers in a restaurant,” “Right now it may feel like that old world has disappeared forever. But the historical evidence suggests that after previous significant events, such as pandemics, plagues and terrorist attacks, people reverted to their previous behaviours often within three to six months” External link

telegraph Thursday, June 25, 2020 11:11:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "May's further fall in inflation is probably only the beginnings of a prolonged period of very soft price pressure," External link

bbc Wednesday, June 17, 2020 11:01:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "May's further fall in inflation is probably only the beginnings of a prolonged period of very soft price pressure," External link

bbc Wednesday, June 17, 2020 10:00:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “illustrates the size of the hole that the coronavirus lockdown left in the economy and how much the government has paid so far to prevent it from being bigger” External link

gulf-times Saturday, May 23, 2020 3:48:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "illustrates the size of the hole that the coronavirus lockdown left in the economy and how much the government has paid so far to prevent it from being bigger" External link

ibtimes Friday, May 22, 2020 1:57:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "illustrates the size of the hole that the coronavirus lockdown left in the economy and how much the government has paid so far to prevent it from being bigger" External link

afp-en Friday, May 22, 2020 1:30:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “That’s why we believe at some point the Bank will have to increase its policy support,” External link

cityam Thursday, May 7, 2020 10:00:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The coronavirus crisis is delivering an unprecedented hit to GDP that the economy will take many years to recover from,” External link

hellenicshippingnews Friday, April 24, 2020 1:19:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The coronavirus crisis is delivering an unprecedented hit to GDP that the economy will take many years to recover from," External link

news-yahoo Thursday, April 23, 2020 6:49:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The coronavirus crisis is delivering an unprecedented hit to GDP that the economy will take many years to recover from,” External link

dhakatribune Thursday, April 23, 2020 6:35:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The coronavirus crisis is delivering an unprecedented hit to GDP that the economy will take many years to recover from," External link

news-yahoo Thursday, April 23, 2020 4:45:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The coronavirus crisis is delivering an unprecedented hit to GDP that the economy will take many years to recover from," External link

wsau Thursday, April 23, 2020 4:44:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The coronavirus crisis is delivering an unprecedented hit to GDP that the economy will take many years to recover from," External link

4-traders Thursday, April 23, 2020 4:41:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The small crack evident in the latest batch of labour market data may soon turn into a chasm,” External link

hellenicshippingnews Wednesday, April 22, 2020 12:47:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The small crack evident in the latest batch of labour market data may soon turn into a chasm," External link

4-traders Tuesday, April 21, 2020 1:04:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales concluded : “We think that employment will soon plunge by about five per cent,” External link

cityam Tuesday, April 21, 2020 12:21:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales added : "What happens next depends on how long the lockdowns last and how quickly households and businesses get back to normal. "We've assumed a three-month lockdown. And while GDP growth would then surge in the months afterwards, households and businesses aren't going to be the same again for a while" External link

bbc Sunday, April 12, 2020 12:55:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales added : "What happens next depends on how long the lockdowns last and how quickly households and businesses get back to normal. " External link

news-yahoo Thursday, April 9, 2020 11:42:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Having previously worked at the bank in various guises for over 30 years, Bailey can be considered an insider with outside experience," External link

ibtimes Monday, March 16, 2020 5:27:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Having previously worked at the bank in various guises for over 30 years, Bailey can be considered an insider with outside experience," External link

afp-en Monday, March 16, 2020 5:04:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales warned ( about British ) : “won’t prevent the [British] economy stagnating or contracting in [the second and third quarters],” External link

ibtimes Wednesday, March 11, 2020 6:08:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : “It won’t prevent the economy stagnating or contracting in Q2 and Q3, but it will help to ensure that the economy can bounce back later this year and in 2020 once the virus has peaked,” External link

news-yahoo Wednesday, March 11, 2020 1:15:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “January’s retail sales figures showed that December’s election result gave consumers the confidence to reopen their wallets,” External link

themalaymailonline Thursday, February 20, 2020 5:48:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The promotion of Rishi Sunak raises the chances that a relaxation of the fiscal rules will allow government policy to [further] boost the economy,” External link

thetimes Sunday, February 16, 2020 3:33:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Sunak’s previous votes in Parliament suggest his views are perhaps more aligned with those of the Prime Minister and his chief special adviser, Dominic Cummings, than Javid’s,” “His voting history shows he’s an ardent Brexiteer, supports reductions in corporation tax, cuts to capital gains tax and he’s gone on the record as favoring infrastructure investment” External link

news-yahoo Thursday, February 13, 2020 7:34:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Sunak’s previous votes in Parliament suggest his views are perhaps more aligned with those of the Prime Minister and his chief special adviser, Dominic Cummings, than Javid’s,” “His voting history shows he’s an ardent Brexiteer, supports reductions in corporation tax, cuts to capital gains tax and he’s gone on the record as favouring infrastructure investment” External link

news-yahoo Thursday, February 13, 2020 5:11:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “We think that the large rebound in January’s flash activity PMI will be enough to prevent the MPC from cutting interest rates at next Thursday’s meeting,” External link

irishtimes Friday, January 24, 2020 4:50:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “He is asking for a huge step change in productivity that no country in the developed world is anywhere near,” External link

ft Tuesday, January 21, 2020 10:13:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said ( about The UK ) : "The stagnation in GDP in October is unlikely to influence many people's vote in Thursday's election," External link

independent-ie Wednesday, December 11, 2019 5:49:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The stagnation in GDP in October is unlikely to influence many people's vote in Thursday's election, but it could prompt some more (Bank of England officials) to consider voting for lower interest rates in the coming months," External link

wsau Tuesday, December 10, 2019 3:07:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The markets can’t have their cake and eat it,” External link

nytimes Wednesday, October 9, 2019 4:39:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The markets can’t have their cake and eat it,” External link

nytimes Sunday, October 6, 2019 5:44:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “GDP will get a further boost of about 0.2% in August, when car manufacturers will be at work when they are usually on holiday,” External link

TheFrontierPost-en Tuesday, September 10, 2019 11:13:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales noted : “While parliament seems to be falling apart, the economy is holding up reasonably well,” External link

TheFrontierPost-en Tuesday, September 10, 2019 11:13:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "While parliament seems to be falling apart, the economy is holding up reasonably well. July's surprisingly strong rise in GDP suggests that it has not fallen into a recession," External link

ecns Tuesday, September 10, 2019 5:33:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales noted : "While parliament seems to be falling apart, the economy is holding up reasonably well," External link

ibtimes Tuesday, September 10, 2019 1:42:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales noted : “While parliament seems to be falling apart, the economy is holding up reasonably well,” External link

jordantimes Tuesday, September 10, 2019 12:56:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales noted : "While parliament seems to be falling apart, the economy is holding up reasonably well," External link

afp-en Tuesday, September 10, 2019 12:38:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "While parliament seems to be falling apart, the economy is holding up reasonably well. July's surprisingly strong rise in GDP suggests that it has not fallen into a recession," External link

xinhuanet_en Monday, September 9, 2019 5:53:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales noted : "While parliament seems to be falling apart, the economy is holding up reasonably well," External link

ibtimes Monday, September 9, 2019 3:42:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales noted : "While parliament seems to be falling apart, the economy is holding up reasonably well," External link

afp-en Monday, September 9, 2019 2:29:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "GDP will get a further boost of about 0.2% in August, when car manufacturers will be at work when they are usually on holiday," External link

bbc Monday, September 9, 2019 1:09:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales wrote : "The prime minister's decision to suspend Parliament … increases the downside risks to the economy and the pound by decreasing the chances of a further delay to Brexit and increasing the chances of a no-deal Brexit on 31st October," External link

CBC Thursday, August 29, 2019 11:25:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Momentum has been lost in all sectors since earlier in the year” External link

cityam Wednesday, July 10, 2019 2:00:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “means that the Bank of England may soon have to navigate the [UK] economy through even choppier political waters,” External link

irishexaminer Friday, May 24, 2019 8:11:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “But at this stage, nothing should be taken for granted...As such, the risks are shifting away from our ‘deal by 31st October’ scenario for the economy and towards another delay or our ‘no deal on 31st October’ scenario,” External link

irishexaminer Friday, May 24, 2019 8:11:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “It’s hard to build this into our forecasts, but the risk is that GDP growth and interest rates stay lower for longer,” External link

irishexaminer Wednesday, May 22, 2019 10:34:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales told : "The impact of delaying Brexit is that the expected economic rebound will now be later," External link

xinhuanet_en Friday, April 12, 2019 4:01:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Our assumption is that one of the effects of Brexit is that it has prompted businesses to postpone or cancel investment projects until the economic and political outlooks are clearer," External link

xinhuanet_en Friday, April 12, 2019 4:01:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Now we will have this unknown period and the risk of a no-deal Brexit at some point for a longer time, so businesses are not going to invest as they would do otherwise," External link

xinhuanet_en Friday, April 12, 2019 4:01:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The Bank of England is going to sit on its hands for a little bit longer mainly because of the uncertainties around Brexit" "For example, if there were a deal tomorrow and the UK left the EU with a deal, then the BoE would assess the situation after a short period. Should the economy be doing okay and the labor market be generating some inflationary pressures then it would probably raise the interest rates," External link

xinhuanet_en Friday, April 12, 2019 4:01:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales alertou : "A incerteza do Brexit deve pesar ainda mais no primeiro trimestre, uma vez que há poucas chances de retomada do crescimento no início deste ano" External link

correiobraziliense Monday, April 8, 2019 8:04:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales afirma : "A maioria de qualquer coisa (exceto contra nenhum acordo, que continua a ser o padrão legal) está longe de ser garantida e exigiria um atraso para ser implementada de qualquer maneira" External link

jcrs Friday, March 29, 2019 10:49:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said ( about Theresa May ) : “The rejection of May’s Brexit deal by 58 votes means with two weeks and eight hours to go until the UK is due to leave the EU there is still no clear path for Brexit itself, the economy and the financial markets,” External link

independent-ie Friday, March 29, 2019 8:12:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “If there's a silver lining from the mounting signs that the uncertainty caused by Brexit is holding back GDP growth, it's that the economy could enjoy a decent rebound if a Brexit deal is agreed,” External link

thedailystarBD Wednesday, February 13, 2019 11:14:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “If there’s a silver lining from the mounting signs that the uncertainty caused by Brexit is holding back GDP growth, it’s that the economy could enjoy a decent rebound if a Brexit deal is agreed,” External link

iran-daily Wednesday, February 13, 2019 3:18:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "If there's a silver lining from the mounting signs that the uncertainty caused by Brexit is holding back GDP growth, it's that the economy could enjoy a decent rebound if a Brexit deal is agreed," External link

firstpost Wednesday, February 13, 2019 6:00:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "If there's a silver lining from the mounting signs that the uncertainty caused by Brexit is holding back GDP growth, it's that the economy could enjoy a decent rebound if a Brexit deal is agreed," External link

trust Wednesday, February 13, 2019 5:02:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "If there's a silver lining from the mounting signs that the uncertainty caused by Brexit is holding back GDP growth, it's that the economy could enjoy a decent rebound if a Brexit deal is agreed," External link

4-traders Wednesday, February 13, 2019 4:59:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "If there's a silver lining from the mounting signs that the uncertainty caused by Brexit is holding back GDP growth, it's that the economy could enjoy a decent rebound if a Brexit deal is agreed," External link

trust2 Wednesday, February 13, 2019 4:28:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales added ( about The UK ) : “The economy could benefit from a release of pent up demand if a Brexit deal is agreed … In that case, GDP growth of 1.4 percent in 2018 could give way to 1.5 percent in 2019 and 2.2 percent in 2020,” External link

dailymaverick Tuesday, February 12, 2019 2:59:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales added ( about The UK ) : "The economy could benefit from a release of pent up demand if a Brexit deal is agreed … In that case, GDP growth of 1.4 percent in 2018 could give way to 1.5 percent in 2019 and 2.2 percent in 2020," External link

aljazeera-en Monday, February 11, 2019 9:55:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales prévenu : "L'incertitude du Brexit devrait peser encore davantage au premier trimestre, il y a peu de chance de rebond pour la croissance en ce début d'année" External link

msn-fr Monday, February 11, 2019 5:19:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales alertou : "A incerteza do Brexit deve pesar ainda mais no primeiro trimestre, uma vez que há poucas chances de retomada do crescimento no início deste ano" External link

clicrbs Monday, February 11, 2019 4:02:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales alertou : "A incerteza do Brexit deve pesar ainda mais no primeiro trimestre, uma vez que há poucas chances de retomada do crescimento no início deste ano" External link

afp-portugues Monday, February 11, 2019 3:43:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Once the Brexit fog clears ... we suspect the pound will rise to $1.45 by the end of next year," External link

deutschewelle-en Wednesday, January 23, 2019 6:56:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

mynews13 Saturday, January 19, 2019 12:33:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

brownsvilleherald Wednesday, January 16, 2019 6:02:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

nzherald Wednesday, January 16, 2019 5:46:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

actionnewsjax Wednesday, January 16, 2019 5:39:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

kiro7 Wednesday, January 16, 2019 5:37:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

muscatinejournal Wednesday, January 16, 2019 5:29:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

ABCnews Wednesday, January 16, 2019 5:29:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

wftv Wednesday, January 16, 2019 5:23:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

wsoctv Wednesday, January 16, 2019 5:08:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

missoulian Wednesday, January 16, 2019 5:02:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

eagletribune Wednesday, January 16, 2019 5:01:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

beaumontenterprise Wednesday, January 16, 2019 4:59:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : “The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March,” External link

therepublic Wednesday, January 16, 2019 4:20:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “It is possible that growth will slow further in Q1, as that is presumably when the Brexit uncertainty will be greatest. What happens next depends on Brexit. But at some point the pent-up investment and consumption demand will be released” External link

standard Friday, January 11, 2019 3:34:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The Bank continued to hint that it could conceivably raise interest rates to curb inflation in the event of a no deal Brexit. But we and the markets believe it’s bluffing. To limit the temporary fallout to the economy, the Bank would surely cut rates swiftly,” External link

independent-UK Thursday, December 20, 2018 3:36:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The slump in the international trade surplus, to $0.1bn in October from $1.6bn in September (consensus $1.4bn) is due to the reduction in demand for iron ore and coal exports linked to the pollution crackdown in China and a rise in the cost of imported oil.," External link

smh Thursday, December 7, 2017 5:25:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Employment appears to have fallen in all states except Queensland and the ACT," "This is probably just payback from the incredibly strong run in recent months rather than anything to worry about too much" External link

abc-au Thursday, November 16, 2017 5:45:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The RBA's lower inflation forecasts may prompt some calls for the bank to cut interest rates below 1.5 per cent. That seems extremely unlikely without a major deterioration in the economic outlook and a rebound in the unemployment rate from 5.5 per cent to well above 6 per cent," External link

smh Friday, November 10, 2017 10:18:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "We don't think it is placing enough weight on the recent weakening in retail sales and softer news on inflation," External link

abc-au Tuesday, November 7, 2017 7:26:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "We don't think it is placing enough weight on the recent weakening in retail sales and softer news on inflation," External link

abc-au Tuesday, November 7, 2017 8:22:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “had seen a knee-jerk reaction on the uncertainty that came with the decision,” External link

marketwatch Friday, October 27, 2017 2:02:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "had seen a knee-jerk reaction on the uncertainty that came with the decision," External link

4-traders Friday, October 27, 2017 9:18:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "That's not going to change soon, which is why we believe the RBA won't raise interest rates from their current record low of 1.5 per cent at all next year," External link

abc-au Thursday, October 26, 2017 2:41:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "If the new government then selects a new RBNZ governor in March who agrees with such shift of emphasis, then monetary policy would presumably be looser than otherwise," External link

smh Friday, October 20, 2017 1:46:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales added : "The resulting fall in interest rate expectations would remove some support for the Australian dollar. If we are also right in expecting interest rate expectations in the US to rise and the iron ore price to fall, then a perfect storm could weaken the Australian dollar from US78¢ now to around US70¢ next year," External link

smh Thursday, October 12, 2017 10:30:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "More money going on servicing a mortgage means there is less to spend elsewhere, dragging on economic growth," External link

independent-ie Thursday, October 12, 2017 5:35:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "More money going on servicing a mortgage means there is less to spend elsewhere, dragging on economic growth," External link

todayonline Thursday, October 5, 2017 9:38:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "That said, we don't think the RBA will go as far as signalling that it will soon be ready to raise rates ," External link

smh Monday, October 2, 2017 3:49:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "That said, we don't think the RBA will go as far as signalling that it will soon be ready to raise rates ," External link

smh Monday, October 2, 2017 2:10:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales says : "It's an asymmetric event really," External link

smh Wednesday, September 20, 2017 8:38:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "It will probably all come down to how the next permanent governor decides to interpret any changes," External link

smh Friday, September 15, 2017 10:04:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "It will probably all come down to how the next permanent governor decides to interpret any changes," External link

smh Friday, September 15, 2017 7:25:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "It will probably all come down to how the next permanent governor decides to interpret any changes," External link

smh Friday, September 15, 2017 6:03:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The 0.8 percent q/q rise in GDP in the second quarter overstates the health of the economy as it needs to be taken in context of the weak 0.3 percent q/q rise in the first quarter," "The 0.6 percent q/q average of the two provides a better guide to the true trend, which suggests the economy is growing at a subdued rate of about 2.2 percent per year" External link

iran-daily Wednesday, September 6, 2017 9:05:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The rise in consumption was largely due to yet another fall in the saving rate, from 5.3 percent to 4.6 percent," "Households won't be willing to reduce it much further now that house prices are rising at a slower rate and may soon stagnate a weaker housing market will soon mean that dwellings investment becomes a persistent drag on growth" External link

iran-daily Wednesday, September 6, 2017 9:05:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "We suspect the combination of subdued GDP growth, low inflation and a growing focus on financial stability will mean it keeps rates there [at 1.5 per cent] for another two years yet," "Our forecast implies that the financial markets will eventually have to adjust their view that rates will start to rise late next year" External link

abc-au Tuesday, September 5, 2017 9:48:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "This election could have quite a dramatic impact on the economy, whereas most elections really don't," External link

channelnewsasia Friday, September 1, 2017 1:19:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Our forecast is that consumption growth will actually slow from 2.6 percent last year to 2 percent this year, which is basically the main reason we don't expect economic growth to be as good as the RBA expects over the next couple of years," "It is a big downside risk to the economy, and to the RBA's own forecasts as well" External link

xinhuanet_en Friday, August 11, 2017 10:37:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The fall in the trade surplus from a record high of $4.6 billion in December to just $0.9 billion in June is not a disaster as a lot of it is due to lower prices rather than lower export volumes," External link

abc-au Sunday, August 6, 2017 11:05:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales noted : "The recent strength of the dollar will prevent net exports from making a large contribution to GDP growth in the coming quarters too," External link

abc-au Sunday, August 6, 2017 11:05:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Interest rates have already diverged between the two countries for the last 15 months," "And while wage growth is growing quickly and could go a long way to solve Australia's inflation problem, it depends a lot on how businesses will react" External link

smh Thursday, March 2, 2017 2:56:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "We believe that GDP growth will be closer to 2.0% this year than 3.0% and that underlying inflation won't rise back to 2.0% until 2019," External link

xinhuanet_en Friday, February 10, 2017 11:03:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Even so, rates are more likely to fall this year than rise," "We still think there's a chance that a softer housing market will give the RBA a green light to try and raise underlying inflation to 2.0% faster by cutting rates to 1.0%" External link

xinhuanet_en Friday, February 10, 2017 11:03:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales told : "While the RBA today left rates at 1.5 percent, I suspect they may yet be forced to reduce them to 1 percent later this year," External link

xinhuanet_en Tuesday, February 7, 2017 1:18:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "We expect that the RBA's inflation forecasts will prove to be too high. Headline inflation will rise, but overseas inflation is likely to be stifled by the stronger dollar and commodity prices are unlikely to generate higher domestic demand or wage growth," External link

xinhuanet_en Friday, February 3, 2017 7:33:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "We expect that the RBA's inflation forecasts will prove to be too high. Headline inflation will rise, but overseas inflation is likely to be stifled by the stronger dollar and commodity prices are unlikely to generate higher domestic demand or wage growth," External link

xinhuanet_en Friday, February 3, 2017 7:33:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "We are expecting the price of iron ore and coal to fall back, so that would reduce the size of the trade surplus later this year," External link

xinhuanet_en Thursday, February 2, 2017 9:11:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Over time, with a reasonable lag, changes in the dollar tend to reduce the volume of exports and increase the volume of imports, we do know that the Australian dollar strengthened fairly sharply last year, so there could be a drag from that as well coming through sometime over the next six months," External link

xinhuanet_en Thursday, February 2, 2017 9:11:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales says : "If you look at Australia, it's been growing below the trend rate for six of the last eight years," External link

brisbanetimes Monday, January 23, 2017 8:21:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales says : "If you look at Australia, it's been growing below the trend rate for six of the last eight years," External link

smh Monday, January 23, 2017 8:16:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The rise in commodity prices that has generated the trade surplus has not resulted in much higher export volumes, and that's crucial for real GDP growth," External link

brisbanetimes Friday, January 6, 2017 7:10:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales commenté : "Il est clair que l'économie continue de bénéficier d'un solde migratoire positif élevé, de solides flux touristiques et de faibles taux d'intérêt" External link

lefigaro Thursday, December 22, 2016 11:28:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Nonetheless, the economy is clearly very strong it will probably continue to grow by an impressive 3.5 per cent next year. That would increase the chances that underlying inflation rises back to more acceptable rates," External link

brisbanetimes Thursday, December 22, 2016 3:33:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "I just don't think it can continue," External link

sltrib Wednesday, December 21, 2016 12:11:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "I just don't think it can continue, " External link

smh Wednesday, December 21, 2016 5:55:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The fairly optimistic comments on domestic activity are outdated as we found out the day after the December meeting that GDP fell by 0.5 percent q/q in the third quarter. The minutes confirm that the RBA had expected 'year-end growth…to decline before picking up,' but the drop in GDP was larger than the RBA expected," External link

cnbc Tuesday, December 20, 2016 10:11:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The RBA will surely have to sound a bit more cautious when it next meets in early February and will probably revise down its 2017 GDP growth forecast," External link

cnbc Tuesday, December 20, 2016 10:11:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “it probably won’t be long before one or two of the ratings agencies withdraw their ‘AAA’ rating” “The treasurer has admitted that in the four financial years starting 2016-2017 the budget deficit will be around US$10 billion higher than forecast in May’s budget,” External link

taipeitimes Monday, December 19, 2016 10:03:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "it probably won’t be long before one or two of the ratings agencies withdraw their AAA rating" "The treasurer has admitted that in the four financial years starting 2016-17 the budget deficit will be around $10 billion higher than forecast in May’s budget," External link

naharnet-en Monday, December 19, 2016 12:09:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “it probably won’t be long before one or two of the ratings agencies withdraw their AAA rating” “The treasurer has admitted that in the four financial years starting 2016-17 the budget deficit will be around $10 billion higher than forecast in May’s budget,” External link

manilatimes Monday, December 19, 2016 10:41:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "it probably won’t be long before one or two of the ratings agencies withdraw their AAA rating" "The treasurer has admitted that in the four financial years starting 2016-17 the budget deficit will be around $10 billion higher than forecast in May’s budget," External link

enca Monday, December 19, 2016 10:23:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "it probably won't be long before one or two of the ratings agencies withdraw their AAA rating" "The treasurer has admitted that in the four financial years starting 2016-17 the budget deficit will be around $10 billion higher than forecast in May's budget," External link

afp-en Monday, December 19, 2016 8:47:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "it probably won't be long before one or two of the ratings agencies withdraw their AAA rating" "The treasurer has admitted that in the four financial years starting 2016/17 the budget deficit will be around $10 billion higher than forecast in May's budget," External link

afp-en Monday, December 19, 2016 6:10:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "I just get the sense the ratings agencies are ready to do it finally and the Treasurer doesn't usually use this as a forum to change policy or announce new measures so I don't see what he could do," External link

brisbanetimes Sunday, December 18, 2016 9:06:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "My sense is weaker wage growth and a weaker economic backdrop would offset any boost from high commodity prices. The Treasurer should conclude that the budget deficit is going to be bigger in each of the next four years," "It looks extremely careless to be the first government in 30 years to lose the triple-A rating. That will pretty much go on your Wikipedia page and stay on it" External link

brisbanetimes Sunday, December 18, 2016 9:06:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The theory here is, if the government is not rated as strongly, it's going to be harder for them to bail out the banks or the states," External link

brisbanetimes Sunday, December 18, 2016 9:06:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Governments around the world have been faced with the lowest borrowing costs in a couple of generations and they've not done anything with it. Especially a country like Australia whose fiscal situation isn't that dire," "It should have seen the opportunity" External link

brisbanetimes Sunday, December 18, 2016 9:06:00 AM EAT



Key Titles and Phrases Count Lang Last Seen
economist60.06%EN10/25/201725/10/2017
chief7.54%EN10/20/201720/10/2017
analyst2.07%EN10/20/201720/10/2017
economics analyst1.63%EN10/20/201720/10/2017
economics economist7.40%EN10/19/201719/10/2017
chief australian0.59%EN10/12/201712/10/2017
economist for australia2.96%EN03/22/201722/03/2017
manager0.89%EN12/10/201610/12/2016
économiste9.02%FR09/07/201607/09/2016
senior economist3.25%EN03/17/201517/03/2015
économiste de capital2.37%FR08/13/201413/08/2014
chief u.s.0.44%EN04/16/201416/04/2014
juge1.04%FR01/16/201416/01/2014
autre économiste0.74%FR08/13/201313/08/2013
Names Lang Count
Paul DalesEN65.82%
Paul DalesFR18.87%
Paul DalesPT15.30%


 
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Paul Dales

Last updated on 2017-10-25T10:05+0300.

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Paul Dales said : “The most worrying thing for me is that those people set to suffer most are already at the lower end of the income spectrum,” External link

independent-UK Wednesday, July 27, 2022 10:16:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “We still think inflation will rise to 12% in October and that interest rates will be raised from 1.25% to 3%, although it’s finely balanced whether they rise by 25bps or 50bps in August,” External link

guardian Wednesday, July 20, 2022 7:35:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales souligne : "Nous pensons que l'inflation élevée signifie que la Banque d'Angleterre va continuer à monter ses taux d'intérêt de 1,25% actuellement à 3% même si l'économie est en récession" External link

france24 Wednesday, July 20, 2022 12:50:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales souligne : "Nous pensons que l'inflation élevée signifie que la Banque d'Angleterre va continuer à monter ses taux d'intérêt de 1,25% actuellement à 3% même si l'économie est en récession" External link

challenges Wednesday, July 20, 2022 12:19:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The recent resilience of GDP to the drag from the high rate of inflation probably won't last and there is still a big risk that the economy falls into recession," External link

chinadaily Thursday, July 14, 2022 8:55:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales added : "a recession is still a real risk," External link

chinadaily Thursday, July 14, 2022 8:55:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The recent resilience of GDP to the drag from the high rate of inflation probably won't last and there is still a big risk that the economy falls into recession," External link

irishsun Thursday, July 14, 2022 12:03:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales added : "a recession is still a real risk," External link

irishsun Thursday, July 14, 2022 12:03:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The recent resilience of GDP to the drag from the high rate of inflation probably won't last and there is still a big risk that the economy falls into recession," External link

xinhuanet_en Wednesday, July 13, 2022 7:00:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales added : "a recession is still a real risk," External link

xinhuanet_en Wednesday, July 13, 2022 7:00:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “It is far too soon to conclude that the economy will be able to get through this period of unusually high inflation largely unscathed,” “With real household disposable incomes set to fall further in the third quarter, a recession is still a real risk” External link

themalaymailonline Wednesday, July 13, 2022 11:00:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "It is far too soon to conclude that the economy will be able to get through this period of unusually high inflation largely unscathed," "With real household disposable incomes set to fall further in the third quarter, a recession is still a real risk" External link

afp-en Wednesday, July 13, 2022 10:06:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "If the Bank starts to lag behind, then that would probably increase the downward pressure on the pound," External link

ara-reuters Wednesday, June 15, 2022 1:57:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales wrote ( about Boris Johnson ) : "After winning tonight's confidence vote, the Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, may double down on Brexit and loosen fiscal policy further to try to boost his political standing," External link

reuters-af Tuesday, June 7, 2022 1:03:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The extra fiscal support for households revealed by the chancellor today falls short of fully offsetting the reduction to households’ real incomes from higher utility prices, but it will cushion the blow and support economic activity,” External link

aljazeera-en Thursday, May 26, 2022 7:01:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The extra fiscal support for households revealed by the Chancellor today falls short of fully offsetting the reduction to households' real incomes from higher utility prices, but it will cushion the blow and support economic activity," External link

ibtimes Thursday, May 26, 2022 5:32:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The lower-than-expected public borrowing of £18.6bn in April and the downward revisions to borrowing in 2021-22 will only add to the pressure on the chancellor to go big when finalising the imminent support package for households," External link

yahoo-au Tuesday, May 24, 2022 1:28:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The lower-than-expected public borrowing of £18.6bn in April and the downward revisions to borrowing in 2021-22 will only add to the pressure on the chancellor to go big when finalising the imminent support package for households," External link

bbc Tuesday, May 24, 2022 1:02:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales added : "That said, we suspect that the effects on the public finances of higher inflation, higher interest rates and weaker GDP growth will prevent a big undershoot this year and may in fact erode some of the £27bn (1.0% of GDP) of headroom the Chancellor has against his main fiscal mandate," External link

rttnews Tuesday, May 24, 2022 11:59:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The lower-than-expected public borrowing of £18.6bn in April and the downward revisions to borrowing in 2021/22 will only add to the pressure on the chancellor to go big when finalising the imminent support package for households," External link

news-yahoo Tuesday, May 24, 2022 10:16:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The lower-than-expected public borrowing of £18.6bn in April and the downward revisions to borrowing in 2021/22 will only add to the pressure on the chancellor to go big when finalising the imminent support package for households," External link

yahoo-au Tuesday, May 24, 2022 10:02:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Things are going to get worse before they get better,” External link

cyprus-mail Wednesday, May 18, 2022 10:52:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Things are going to get worse before they get better," External link

economictimes Wednesday, May 18, 2022 10:29:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Things are going to get worse before they get better," External link

reuters-af Wednesday, May 18, 2022 9:51:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Previous bouts of inflation we've had were mainly concentrated on individual items like petrol which you could try and avoid," External link

mninews Wednesday, May 18, 2022 9:28:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Previous bouts of inflation we've had were mainly concentrated on individual items like petrol which you could try and avoid," External link

reuters-af Wednesday, May 18, 2022 4:49:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales noted : "suggest the economy had less momentum than we thought even before the full hit from the cost-of-living crisis has been felt" External link

thedailystarBD Thursday, May 12, 2022 11:47:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “suggest the economy had less momentum than we thought even before the full hit from the cost of living crisis has been felt,” External link

financialexpress Thursday, May 12, 2022 3:28:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Suddenly, our forecasts that GDP will be flat in both the second quarter and the third quarter seem pretty optimistic,” External link

guardian Thursday, May 12, 2022 2:41:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Suddenly, our forecasts that GDP will be flat in both the second quarter and the third quarter seem pretty optimistic,” External link

guardian Thursday, May 12, 2022 1:30:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "suggest the economy had less momentum than we thought even before the full hit from the cost of living crisis has been felt," External link

portstephensexaminer Thursday, May 12, 2022 12:50:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "suggest the economy had less momentum than we thought even before the full hit from the cost of living crisis has been felt," External link

maitlandmercury Thursday, May 12, 2022 12:12:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “suggest the economy had less momentum than we thought even before the full hit from the cost of living crisis has been felt,” External link

seattlepi Thursday, May 12, 2022 12:04:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “suggest the economy had less momentum than we thought even before the full hit from the cost of living crisis has been felt,” External link

wral Thursday, May 12, 2022 11:51:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales noted : "suggest the economy had less momentum than we thought even before the full hit from the cost-of-living crisis has been felt" External link

news-yahoo Thursday, May 12, 2022 10:26:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “By focusing on containing any second-round effects on wages and prices, the Bank risks tipping the economy into recession,” External link

guardian Tuesday, May 3, 2022 9:06:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The further tightening in the labour market will only encourage the Bank of England to raise interest rates on Thursday ... despite the coming extra hit to households' real incomes from the war in Ukraine," External link

ibtimes Tuesday, March 15, 2022 12:10:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The economic consequences of the war in Ukraine have worsened the already tricky mix between soaring inflation and slowing GDP growth," External link

reuters-af Tuesday, March 15, 2022 4:41:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said ( about The UK ) : "The cost of living crisis and the influence of the war in Ukraine probably means this is as good as it gets for the year," External link

heraldscotland Friday, March 11, 2022 7:04:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The cost of living crisis and the influence of the war in Ukraine probably means this is as good as it gets for the year," External link

ibtimes Friday, March 11, 2022 2:38:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The cost of living crisis and the influence of the war in Ukraine probably means this is as good as it gets for the year," External link

ibtimes Friday, March 11, 2022 1:01:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “will exacerbate the cost-of-living crisis by reducing households’ real incomes” External link

express Friday, March 11, 2022 2:34:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The ECB’s monetary policy statement signalled it is more concerned about a further sharp rise in inflation than the negative shock to demand which will result from the war in Ukraine,” External link

thenational Thursday, March 10, 2022 7:04:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “But it is worth considering the other plausible scenarios, which could prompt the Bank to delay interest rate hikes or even raise interest rates faster,” “It is obviously very uncertain how the Russia/Ukraine conflict will develop, but it feels as though it could be more protracted and have more widespread consequences than appeared likely last week” External link

guardian Tuesday, March 1, 2022 2:55:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "increase in CPI inflation... will add a bit more pressure on the Bank of England to continue raising interest rates rapidly" External link

thedailystarBD Thursday, February 17, 2022 6:40:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “increase in CPI inflation… will add a bit more pressure on the Bank of England to continue raising interest rates rapidly” External link

citizen Thursday, February 17, 2022 4:17:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “increase in CPI inflation… will add a bit more pressure on the Bank of England to continue raising interest rates rapidly” External link

kuwaittimes Wednesday, February 16, 2022 8:40:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “will add more pressure on the Bank of England to raise interest rates rapidly,” External link

wivb Wednesday, February 16, 2022 7:07:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “will add more pressure on the Bank of England to raise interest rates rapidly,” External link

click2houston Wednesday, February 16, 2022 3:17:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "increase in CPI inflation... will add a bit more pressure on the Bank of England to continue raising interest rates rapidly" External link

afp-en Wednesday, February 16, 2022 1:37:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "increase in CPI inflation... will add a bit more pressure on the Bank of England to continue raising interest rates rapidly" External link

ibtimes Wednesday, February 16, 2022 12:26:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "increase in CPI inflation... will add a bit more pressure on the Bank of England to continue raising interest rates rapidly" External link

news-yahoo Wednesday, February 16, 2022 12:02:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “increase in CPI inflation... will add a bit more pressure on the Bank of England to continue raising interest rates rapidly” External link

themalaymailonline Wednesday, February 16, 2022 11:34:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "increase in CPI inflation... will add a bit more pressure on the Bank of England to continue raising interest rates rapidly" External link

afp-en Wednesday, February 16, 2022 10:38:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “It’s no secret that inflation is going to rise even further” External link

themirror Saturday, February 12, 2022 2:22:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales concluded ( about The UK ) : "The Bank has become more hawkish, but it doesn't appear to be signalling it intends to raise interest rates very rapidly," External link

afp-en Thursday, February 3, 2022 5:04:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales wrote : "That should have been brought into focus by this week’s news that CPI inflation rose to a 30-year high of 5.4% in December," External link

irishexaminer Friday, January 21, 2022 9:37:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Inflation is close to being further above the target than at any point since Britain started targeting inflation in October 1992," External link

arkansasonline Thursday, December 16, 2021 11:03:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "This makes tomorrow's interest rate decision look closer, but on balance we think the Bank of England is more likely to keep rates at 0.1% until it learns more about the Omicron situation," External link

4-traders Wednesday, December 15, 2021 7:38:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Inflation is close to being further above the target than at any point since the U.K. started targeting inflation in October 1992,” External link

theepochtimes Wednesday, December 15, 2021 7:11:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Inflation is close to being further above the target than at any point since the UK started targeting inflation in October 1992," External link

sinacom-en Wednesday, December 15, 2021 6:05:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales added : "This makes tomorrow's interest rate decision look closer, but on balance we think the Bank of England is more likely to keep rates at 0.10 percent until it learns more about the Omicron situation," External link

sinacom-en Wednesday, December 15, 2021 6:05:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Inflation is close to being further above the target than at any point since the U.K. started targeting inflation in October 1992,” External link

seattlepi Wednesday, December 15, 2021 3:57:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Inflation is close to being further above the target than at any point since the U.K. started targeting inflation in October 1992,” External link

mynews13 Wednesday, December 15, 2021 3:39:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "This makes tomorrow's interest rate decision look closer, but on balance we think the Bank of England is more likely to keep rates at 0.1% until it learns more about the Omicron situation," External link

skynews Wednesday, December 15, 2021 12:41:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Even though the fallout after the furlough scheme was smaller and shorter than the Bank of England had feared, concerns over the deteriorating COVID-19 situation will probably prevent it from raising interest rates this Thursday,” External link

click2houston Tuesday, December 14, 2021 2:00:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The transmissibility, severity and capacity for Omicron to escape vaccines are still unknown,” “But if Omicron leads the government to close non-essential retail, hospitality venues and schools, we think GDP would fall by something like 3%. As has been the case in previous lockdowns, that would boost demand for goods relative to demand for services, which may keep goods inflation higher for longer” External link

guardian Thursday, December 9, 2021 9:03:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “If the chancellor didn’t revive the furlough scheme the fall in the economy would be bigger or last longer” External link

guardian Wednesday, December 8, 2021 11:32:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “They [companies] may have managed to get the products they want, but not necessarily the labour to distribute them,” External link

independent-UK Thursday, December 2, 2021 5:52:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The variant offers an almighty incentive for the Bank not to raise rates now,” External link

independent-UK Thursday, December 2, 2021 5:52:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The rebound in retail sales in October and the further improvement in the public finances will add to expectations that the Bank of England will raise interest rates from 0.10 per cent to 0.25 per cent in December,” External link

cyprus-mail Friday, November 19, 2021 4:49:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The rebound in retail sales in October and the further improvement in the public finances will add to expectations that the Bank of England will raise interest rates from 0.10% to 0.25% in December," External link

news-yahoo Friday, November 19, 2021 11:40:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "That said, we still think the markets have gone too far by pricing in interest rates rising to 1.00-1.25 percent by the end of next year," External link

ecns Thursday, November 18, 2021 5:40:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "That said, we still think the markets have gone too far by pricing in interest rates rising to 1.00-1.25 percent by the end of next year," External link

sinacom-en Wednesday, November 17, 2021 6:22:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales estima : “vuelve aún más probable un aumento de las tasas de interés en diciembre” External link

monumental Wednesday, November 17, 2021 5:28:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales commenté : "rend encore plus probable une hausse des taux d'intérêts en décembre" External link

capital-FR Wednesday, November 17, 2021 11:18:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Today’s release has given the Bank an amber light and the next labour market release will probably give it the green light to raise interest rates from 0.1% to 0.25%,” External link

guardian Tuesday, November 16, 2021 3:12:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "We’re not too worried about this being a sign of excess," External link

zerohedge Thursday, November 11, 2021 4:58:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales estime : "Il y a de fortes chances que la BoE relève son taux" External link

capital-FR Thursday, November 4, 2021 10:17:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "appears more worried about the upside risks to inflation from rising underlying wage growth and higher inflation expectations than... a month ago" External link

thedailystarBD Tuesday, November 2, 2021 10:44:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “appears more worried about the upside risks to inflation from rising underlying wage growth and higher inflation expectations than… a month ago” External link

TheFrontierPost-en Tuesday, November 2, 2021 6:40:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “appears more worried about the upside risks to inflation from rising underlying wage growth and higher inflation expectations than... a month ago” External link

themalaymailonline Tuesday, November 2, 2021 8:01:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "appears more worried about the upside risks to inflation from rising underlying wage growth and higher inflation expectations than... a month ago" External link

news-yahoo Tuesday, November 2, 2021 6:10:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "appears more worried about the upside risks to inflation from rising underlying wage growth and higher inflation expectations than... a month ago" External link

afp-en Tuesday, November 2, 2021 5:54:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The rumors are that the Chancellor will still keep a very tight grip on the public finances in next Wednesday’s budget to try and bring down borrowing even quicker and build a fiscal war chest to deploy ahead of the 2024 election,” External link

theepochtimes Thursday, October 21, 2021 5:58:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The rumours are that the Chancellor will still keep a very tight grip on the public finances in next Wednesday’s budget to try and bring down borrowing even quicker and build a fiscal war chest to deploy ahead of the 2024 election,” External link

cyprus-mail Thursday, October 21, 2021 2:21:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “As the dip… still left inflation above the 3.0-percent rate the BoE forecast back in August, it’s unlikely to significantly reduce expectations that the BoE will raise interest rates before the end of the year,” External link

TheFrontierPost-en Wednesday, October 20, 2021 7:11:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "As the dip... still left inflation above the 3.0-percent rate the BoE forecast back in August, it's unlikely to significantly reduce expectations that the BoE will raise interest rates before the end of the year," External link

news-yahoo Wednesday, October 20, 2021 11:04:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said ( about The UK ) : "The 0.4 per cent month-on-month rise in GDP in August confirms that the rapid gains in output, which in just 16 months lifted GDP from being 25.1 per cent below its February 2020 pre-pandemic peak to 0.8 per cent below, are now behind us," External link

business-standard Thursday, October 14, 2021 11:04:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Such drags may have become more widespread and significant in September and October, with the fuel crisis preventing some people from getting to work,” External link

independent-UK Wednesday, October 13, 2021 11:59:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "increases the chances of the Bank of England raising interest rates in the coming months despite other evidence that the economic recovery is spluttering" External link

news-yahoo Tuesday, October 12, 2021 2:53:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "increases the chances of the Bank of England raising interest rates in the coming months despite other evidence that the economic recovery is spluttering" External link

news-yahoo Tuesday, October 12, 2021 1:53:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "As long as the restrictions are eased in the next few months, then there would still be a pretty good chance that COVID-19 won't significantly reduce the future level or growth rate of GDP," External link

trust Friday, June 18, 2021 4:30:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "As long as the restrictions are eased in the next few months, then there would still be a pretty good chance that COVID-19 won't significantly reduce the future level or growth rate of GDP," External link

reuters-af Friday, June 18, 2021 4:28:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "With businesses having raised their prices by more than we expected once they reopened after COVID-19 lockdowns ended, we now think CPI inflation will rise to a peak of 2.9 percent later this year compared to 2.6 percent previously," External link

sinacom-en Wednesday, June 16, 2021 5:16:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales added : "And the further surge in costs earlier in the price pipeline has made us a bit less confident that CPI inflation will drop back below 2.0 percent next year," External link

sinacom-en Wednesday, June 16, 2021 5:16:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "showed that households were particularly keen to update their wardrobes" External link

thenational Friday, May 21, 2021 2:24:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "showed that households were particularly keen to update their wardrobes" External link

thenational Friday, May 21, 2021 11:59:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "March's strong rise in retail sales showed that the economy made a fair bit of progress even before non-essential retailers re-opened in April," External link

4-traders Friday, April 23, 2021 11:34:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales added : "But overall the picture has been positive with good coop from businesses in the main, who enagaged with us positively leading up to the reopening and during the visits that we had this week. " External link

nottinghampost Friday, April 16, 2021 10:51:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "There are mounting signs that the effects on the economy from the third COVID-19 lockdown have started to thaw," External link

chinadaily Wednesday, April 14, 2021 4:39:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “There are mounting signs that the effects on the economy from the third COVID-19 lockdown have started to thaw,” External link

themirror Tuesday, April 13, 2021 6:59:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “There are mounting signs that the effects on the economy from the third COVID-19 lockdown have started to thaw,” External link

reuters-af Tuesday, April 13, 2021 3:22:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "We are sticking to our relatively optimistic view that the reopening of the economy and the vaccine programme will allow gross domestic product)to regain its pre-pandemic level early next year," "While employment may yet fall further between now and the end of the year (not least as the furlough scheme ends in September), our GDP forecasts suggest that employment is not far from a trough and will start to rise late this year" External link

thenational Saturday, April 10, 2021 2:42:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Larger chains like these are typically inspected every two years as they are usually compliant and have internal monitoring systems. Poor performers with high risk food handling get inspected at least every six months to a year. “As has been the case across the country, there have been far fewer food safety inspections taking place during the pandemic, mainly because businesses have been intermittently closed due to Covid restrictions, as well as some food officers being temporarily tasked with Covid inspections and outbreak tracing. “However, the team has continued to inspect high risk premises on site, while for those with a good track record they have carried out ‘remote inspections’ in accordance with Food Standards Agency guidance, following up with on-site visits if necessary. " External link

nottinghampost Monday, April 5, 2021 1:05:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The drag on CPI inflation in February from the COVID-19 lockdown will delay the rebound in inflation to 2.0 percent and perhaps prompt the markets to reconsider their view that interest rates will rise next year," External link

xinhuanet_en Wednesday, March 24, 2021 5:51:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The drag on CPI inflation in February from the COVID-19 lockdown will delay the rebound in inflation to 2.0 percent and perhaps prompt the markets to reconsider their view that interest rates will rise next year," External link

sinacom-en Wednesday, March 24, 2021 5:22:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales noted : “A stronger pound is another headwind for UK exporters and provides some small relief for households,” External link

kuwaittimes Tuesday, February 23, 2021 6:53:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales noted : “A stronger pound is another headwind for UK exporters and provides some small relief for households,” External link

timesofmalta Tuesday, February 23, 2021 11:44:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales commente : «Les exportations britanniques sont toujours moins chères qu’avant le référendum» External link

24heures Tuesday, February 23, 2021 10:35:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales noted : "A stronger pound is another headwind for UK exporters and provides some small relief for households," External link

yahoo-au Tuesday, February 23, 2021 7:08:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "That would knock on the head any lingering hopes of more policy stimulus from the Bank of England, although we doubt it would prompt tighter monetary policy either," External link

xinhuanet_en Wednesday, February 17, 2021 5:35:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "That would knock on the head any lingering hopes of more policy stimulus from the Bank of England, although we doubt it would prompt tighter monetary policy, either," External link

4-traders Wednesday, February 17, 2021 2:33:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Overall, these data highlight how the economy still needs the government’s financial support. The Chancellor should ensure that is the main focus of his Budget on 3rd March and not a desire to reduce the budget deficit by raising taxes,” External link

politico-eu Friday, February 5, 2021 3:25:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Overall, the growing immunity to lockdowns suggests that the economy is not quite as sick as we thought,” External link

gulf-times Friday, January 15, 2021 10:58:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Overall, the growing immunity to lockdowns suggests that the economy is not quite as sick as we thought," External link

4-traders Friday, January 15, 2021 2:46:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "Of course, the near-term outlook for the economy is grim. But we are optimistic that the distribution of vaccines and removal of Covid-19 restrictions will allow GDP to rebound rapidly in the second half of next year," External link

business-times Monday, January 4, 2021 1:41:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales diz : "O acordo remove um freio potencial na recuperação da economia global" External link

jcrs Thursday, December 24, 2020 6:15:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales diz : "O acordo remove um freio potencial na recuperação da economia global" External link

bemparana Thursday, December 24, 2020 6:03:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales wrote : “It’s impossible to know whether the UK /EU decision to blast through another Brexit ‘deadline’ today means a deal has become more likely or whether both sides believe that a no deal is the end destination but just want to show that they are doing all they can to avoid it,” External link

bloomberg Monday, December 14, 2020 12:57:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales wrote : "Back in 1975, Australian households received a bigger share of the economic pie than households in the US, France and New Zealand," "But the downward trend in labour's share of GDP over the past 40 years has been more marked in Australia than in those other countries, apart from New Zealand" External link

abc-au Sunday, December 6, 2020 8:22:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "inflation is well past its crisis low point of 0.2 percent," External link

xinhuanet_en Wednesday, November 18, 2020 6:53:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "While it will rise more significantly from next April, we doubt that it will spend much time above the 2 percent target," External link

xinhuanet_en Wednesday, November 18, 2020 6:53:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The PMIs suggest you shouldn’t read too much into the decent rise in retail sales in September released earlier today,” External link

reuters-uk Sunday, October 25, 2020 11:43:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The PMIs suggest you shouldn't read too much into the decent rise in retail sales in September released earlier today," External link

4-traders Friday, October 23, 2020 1:08:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "it's hard to think of reasons why the Bank of England won't launch another 100 billion pounds (about 129.5 billion U.S. dollars) or so of quantitative easing at the policy meeting on Nov. 5," External link

xinhuanet_en Wednesday, October 21, 2020 4:38:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "give the Bank of England and the Chancellor the green light to do more to support the economy," External link

news-yahoo Wednesday, October 21, 2020 1:59:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "With CPI inflation just 0.5% in September, it's hard to think of reasons why the Bank of England won't launch another £100bn or so of QE at the November meeting. And despite public borrowing still jumping, the government may yet spend more," External link

news-yahoo Wednesday, October 21, 2020 9:37:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The fallout in the labour market from the COVID-19 recession has been worse than previously thought," External link

xinhuanet_en Tuesday, October 13, 2020 6:06:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales added : "With the latest COVID-19 restrictions threatening to stall the economic recovery, if not send it into reverse, the unemployment rate may yet climb to almost 8 percent next year," External link

xinhuanet_en Tuesday, October 13, 2020 6:06:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales noted : “The latest batch of data show that the labour market has been somewhat weaker than previously thought and that the fallout from the Covid-19 recession is intensifying,” External link

ngrguardiannews Tuesday, October 13, 2020 2:38:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales noted : “The latest batch of data show that the labour market has been somewhat weaker than previously thought and that the fallout from the Covid-19 recession is intensifying,” External link

guardian-ng Tuesday, October 13, 2020 2:11:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales noted : “The latest batch of data show that the labour market has been somewhat weaker than previously thought and that the fallout from the Covid-19 recession is intensifying,” External link

onlinenigeria Tuesday, October 13, 2020 2:06:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales noted : "The latest batch of data show that the labour market has been somewhat weaker than previously thought and that the fallout from the Covid-19 recession is intensifying," External link

naharnet-en Tuesday, October 13, 2020 12:28:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The latest batch of data show that the labour market has been somewhat weaker than previously thought and that the fallout from the Covid-19 recession is intensifying," External link

thenational Tuesday, October 13, 2020 12:27:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales noted : “The latest batch of data show that the labour market has been somewhat weaker than previously thought and that the fallout from the Covid-19 recession is intensifying,” External link

themalaymailonline Tuesday, October 13, 2020 11:39:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales noted : “The latest batch of data show that the labor market has been somewhat weaker than previously thought and that the fallout from the Covid-19 recession is intensifying,” External link

tribuneonline Tuesday, October 13, 2020 11:04:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales noted : "The latest batch of data show that the labour market has been somewhat weaker than previously thought and that the fallout from the Covid-19 recession is intensifying," External link

afp-en Tuesday, October 13, 2020 10:02:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "It’s encouraging that the first step in unwinding the furlough scheme has not led to a surge in job losses, but we think it is only a matter of time before that happens," External link

news-yahoo Tuesday, September 15, 2020 9:54:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "All the talk is of using higher taxes to put the public finances on a more stable footing," External link

afp-en Thursday, September 3, 2020 6:51:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said ( about The UK ) : "The UK scheme, in that sense, looks a little bit short, especially when you take into account that the UK's economy is made up of a higher share of sectors that are hampered by social distancing," External link

news-yahoo Tuesday, September 1, 2020 7:50:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said ( about The UK ) : "The UK scheme, in that sense, looks a little bit short, especially when you take into account that the UK's economy is made up of a higher share of sectors that are hampered by social distancing," External link

bbc Tuesday, September 1, 2020 7:13:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said ( about The UK ) : "The UK scheme, in that sense, looks a little bit short, especially when you take into account that the UK's economy is made up of a higher share of sectors that are hampered by social distancing," External link

news-yahoo Tuesday, September 1, 2020 12:36:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said ( about The UK ) : "The UK scheme, in that sense, looks a little bit short, especially when you take into account that the UK's economy is made up of a higher share of sectors that are hampered by social distancing," External link

bbc Tuesday, September 1, 2020 12:23:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said ( about The UK ) : "The UK scheme, in that sense, looks a little bit short, especially when you take into account that the UK's economy is made up of a higher share of sectors that are hampered by social distancing," External link

news-yahoo Tuesday, September 1, 2020 12:03:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : “one of the big questions that will determine the shape of the recovery” External link

economist Thursday, July 16, 2020 7:39:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : “If social distancing were practised for many years, either because it was enforced by governments or fears of future waves of the virus prompted people to implement it anyway, then most of the recent changes to the way we spend, socialise and work will probably be in place for many years too,” External link

telegraph Thursday, June 25, 2020 1:58:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : “That’s partly because they have been forced on people and businesses, partly because the current substitutes aren’t adequate (Zoom drinks rather than pub drinks) and partly because there is a commercial incentive for businesses to cram more employees in an office or more customers in a restaurant,” “Right now it may feel like that old world has disappeared forever. But the historical evidence suggests that after previous significant events, such as pandemics, plagues and terrorist attacks, people reverted to their previous behaviours often within three to six months” External link

telegraph Thursday, June 25, 2020 1:58:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : “If social distancing were practised for many years, either because it was enforced by governments or fears of future waves of the virus prompted people to implement it anyway, then most of the recent changes to the way we spend, socialise and work will probably be in place for many years too,” External link

telegraph Thursday, June 25, 2020 11:11:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales says : “That’s partly because they have been forced on people and businesses, partly because the current substitutes aren’t adequate (Zoom drinks rather than pub drinks) and partly because there is a commercial incentive for businesses to cram more employees in an office or more customers in a restaurant,” “Right now it may feel like that old world has disappeared forever. But the historical evidence suggests that after previous significant events, such as pandemics, plagues and terrorist attacks, people reverted to their previous behaviours often within three to six months” External link

telegraph Thursday, June 25, 2020 11:11:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "May's further fall in inflation is probably only the beginnings of a prolonged period of very soft price pressure," External link

bbc Wednesday, June 17, 2020 11:01:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "May's further fall in inflation is probably only the beginnings of a prolonged period of very soft price pressure," External link

bbc Wednesday, June 17, 2020 10:00:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “illustrates the size of the hole that the coronavirus lockdown left in the economy and how much the government has paid so far to prevent it from being bigger” External link

gulf-times Saturday, May 23, 2020 3:48:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "illustrates the size of the hole that the coronavirus lockdown left in the economy and how much the government has paid so far to prevent it from being bigger" External link

ibtimes Friday, May 22, 2020 1:57:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "illustrates the size of the hole that the coronavirus lockdown left in the economy and how much the government has paid so far to prevent it from being bigger" External link

afp-en Friday, May 22, 2020 1:30:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “That’s why we believe at some point the Bank will have to increase its policy support,” External link

cityam Thursday, May 7, 2020 10:00:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The coronavirus crisis is delivering an unprecedented hit to GDP that the economy will take many years to recover from,” External link

hellenicshippingnews Friday, April 24, 2020 1:19:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The coronavirus crisis is delivering an unprecedented hit to GDP that the economy will take many years to recover from," External link

news-yahoo Thursday, April 23, 2020 6:49:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The coronavirus crisis is delivering an unprecedented hit to GDP that the economy will take many years to recover from,” External link

dhakatribune Thursday, April 23, 2020 6:35:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The coronavirus crisis is delivering an unprecedented hit to GDP that the economy will take many years to recover from," External link

news-yahoo Thursday, April 23, 2020 4:45:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The coronavirus crisis is delivering an unprecedented hit to GDP that the economy will take many years to recover from," External link

wsau Thursday, April 23, 2020 4:44:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The coronavirus crisis is delivering an unprecedented hit to GDP that the economy will take many years to recover from," External link

4-traders Thursday, April 23, 2020 4:41:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The small crack evident in the latest batch of labour market data may soon turn into a chasm,” External link

hellenicshippingnews Wednesday, April 22, 2020 12:47:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The small crack evident in the latest batch of labour market data may soon turn into a chasm," External link

4-traders Tuesday, April 21, 2020 1:04:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales concluded : “We think that employment will soon plunge by about five per cent,” External link

cityam Tuesday, April 21, 2020 12:21:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales added : "What happens next depends on how long the lockdowns last and how quickly households and businesses get back to normal. "We've assumed a three-month lockdown. And while GDP growth would then surge in the months afterwards, households and businesses aren't going to be the same again for a while" External link

bbc Sunday, April 12, 2020 12:55:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales added : "What happens next depends on how long the lockdowns last and how quickly households and businesses get back to normal. " External link

news-yahoo Thursday, April 9, 2020 11:42:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Having previously worked at the bank in various guises for over 30 years, Bailey can be considered an insider with outside experience," External link

ibtimes Monday, March 16, 2020 5:27:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Having previously worked at the bank in various guises for over 30 years, Bailey can be considered an insider with outside experience," External link

afp-en Monday, March 16, 2020 5:04:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales warned ( about British ) : “won’t prevent the [British] economy stagnating or contracting in [the second and third quarters],” External link

ibtimes Wednesday, March 11, 2020 6:08:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : “It won’t prevent the economy stagnating or contracting in Q2 and Q3, but it will help to ensure that the economy can bounce back later this year and in 2020 once the virus has peaked,” External link

news-yahoo Wednesday, March 11, 2020 1:15:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “January’s retail sales figures showed that December’s election result gave consumers the confidence to reopen their wallets,” External link

themalaymailonline Thursday, February 20, 2020 5:48:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The promotion of Rishi Sunak raises the chances that a relaxation of the fiscal rules will allow government policy to [further] boost the economy,” External link

thetimes Sunday, February 16, 2020 3:33:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Sunak’s previous votes in Parliament suggest his views are perhaps more aligned with those of the Prime Minister and his chief special adviser, Dominic Cummings, than Javid’s,” “His voting history shows he’s an ardent Brexiteer, supports reductions in corporation tax, cuts to capital gains tax and he’s gone on the record as favoring infrastructure investment” External link

news-yahoo Thursday, February 13, 2020 7:34:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Sunak’s previous votes in Parliament suggest his views are perhaps more aligned with those of the Prime Minister and his chief special adviser, Dominic Cummings, than Javid’s,” “His voting history shows he’s an ardent Brexiteer, supports reductions in corporation tax, cuts to capital gains tax and he’s gone on the record as favouring infrastructure investment” External link

news-yahoo Thursday, February 13, 2020 5:11:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “We think that the large rebound in January’s flash activity PMI will be enough to prevent the MPC from cutting interest rates at next Thursday’s meeting,” External link

irishtimes Friday, January 24, 2020 4:50:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “He is asking for a huge step change in productivity that no country in the developed world is anywhere near,” External link

ft Tuesday, January 21, 2020 10:13:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said ( about The UK ) : "The stagnation in GDP in October is unlikely to influence many people's vote in Thursday's election," External link

independent-ie Wednesday, December 11, 2019 5:49:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The stagnation in GDP in October is unlikely to influence many people's vote in Thursday's election, but it could prompt some more (Bank of England officials) to consider voting for lower interest rates in the coming months," External link

wsau Tuesday, December 10, 2019 3:07:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The markets can’t have their cake and eat it,” External link

nytimes Wednesday, October 9, 2019 4:39:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The markets can’t have their cake and eat it,” External link

nytimes Sunday, October 6, 2019 5:44:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “GDP will get a further boost of about 0.2% in August, when car manufacturers will be at work when they are usually on holiday,” External link

TheFrontierPost-en Tuesday, September 10, 2019 11:13:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales noted : “While parliament seems to be falling apart, the economy is holding up reasonably well,” External link

TheFrontierPost-en Tuesday, September 10, 2019 11:13:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "While parliament seems to be falling apart, the economy is holding up reasonably well. July's surprisingly strong rise in GDP suggests that it has not fallen into a recession," External link

ecns Tuesday, September 10, 2019 5:33:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales noted : "While parliament seems to be falling apart, the economy is holding up reasonably well," External link

ibtimes Tuesday, September 10, 2019 1:42:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales noted : “While parliament seems to be falling apart, the economy is holding up reasonably well,” External link

jordantimes Tuesday, September 10, 2019 12:56:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales noted : "While parliament seems to be falling apart, the economy is holding up reasonably well," External link

afp-en Tuesday, September 10, 2019 12:38:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "While parliament seems to be falling apart, the economy is holding up reasonably well. July's surprisingly strong rise in GDP suggests that it has not fallen into a recession," External link

xinhuanet_en Monday, September 9, 2019 5:53:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales noted : "While parliament seems to be falling apart, the economy is holding up reasonably well," External link

ibtimes Monday, September 9, 2019 3:42:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales noted : "While parliament seems to be falling apart, the economy is holding up reasonably well," External link

afp-en Monday, September 9, 2019 2:29:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "GDP will get a further boost of about 0.2% in August, when car manufacturers will be at work when they are usually on holiday," External link

bbc Monday, September 9, 2019 1:09:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales wrote : "The prime minister's decision to suspend Parliament … increases the downside risks to the economy and the pound by decreasing the chances of a further delay to Brexit and increasing the chances of a no-deal Brexit on 31st October," External link

CBC Thursday, August 29, 2019 11:25:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “Momentum has been lost in all sectors since earlier in the year” External link

cityam Wednesday, July 10, 2019 2:00:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “means that the Bank of England may soon have to navigate the [UK] economy through even choppier political waters,” External link

irishexaminer Friday, May 24, 2019 8:11:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “But at this stage, nothing should be taken for granted...As such, the risks are shifting away from our ‘deal by 31st October’ scenario for the economy and towards another delay or our ‘no deal on 31st October’ scenario,” External link

irishexaminer Friday, May 24, 2019 8:11:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “It’s hard to build this into our forecasts, but the risk is that GDP growth and interest rates stay lower for longer,” External link

irishexaminer Wednesday, May 22, 2019 10:34:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales told : "The impact of delaying Brexit is that the expected economic rebound will now be later," External link

xinhuanet_en Friday, April 12, 2019 4:01:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Our assumption is that one of the effects of Brexit is that it has prompted businesses to postpone or cancel investment projects until the economic and political outlooks are clearer," External link

xinhuanet_en Friday, April 12, 2019 4:01:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Now we will have this unknown period and the risk of a no-deal Brexit at some point for a longer time, so businesses are not going to invest as they would do otherwise," External link

xinhuanet_en Friday, April 12, 2019 4:01:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The Bank of England is going to sit on its hands for a little bit longer mainly because of the uncertainties around Brexit" "For example, if there were a deal tomorrow and the UK left the EU with a deal, then the BoE would assess the situation after a short period. Should the economy be doing okay and the labor market be generating some inflationary pressures then it would probably raise the interest rates," External link

xinhuanet_en Friday, April 12, 2019 4:01:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales alertou : "A incerteza do Brexit deve pesar ainda mais no primeiro trimestre, uma vez que há poucas chances de retomada do crescimento no início deste ano" External link

correiobraziliense Monday, April 8, 2019 8:04:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales afirma : "A maioria de qualquer coisa (exceto contra nenhum acordo, que continua a ser o padrão legal) está longe de ser garantida e exigiria um atraso para ser implementada de qualquer maneira" External link

jcrs Friday, March 29, 2019 10:49:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said ( about Theresa May ) : “The rejection of May’s Brexit deal by 58 votes means with two weeks and eight hours to go until the UK is due to leave the EU there is still no clear path for Brexit itself, the economy and the financial markets,” External link

independent-ie Friday, March 29, 2019 8:12:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “If there's a silver lining from the mounting signs that the uncertainty caused by Brexit is holding back GDP growth, it's that the economy could enjoy a decent rebound if a Brexit deal is agreed,” External link

thedailystarBD Wednesday, February 13, 2019 11:14:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “If there’s a silver lining from the mounting signs that the uncertainty caused by Brexit is holding back GDP growth, it’s that the economy could enjoy a decent rebound if a Brexit deal is agreed,” External link

iran-daily Wednesday, February 13, 2019 3:18:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "If there's a silver lining from the mounting signs that the uncertainty caused by Brexit is holding back GDP growth, it's that the economy could enjoy a decent rebound if a Brexit deal is agreed," External link

firstpost Wednesday, February 13, 2019 6:00:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "If there's a silver lining from the mounting signs that the uncertainty caused by Brexit is holding back GDP growth, it's that the economy could enjoy a decent rebound if a Brexit deal is agreed," External link

trust Wednesday, February 13, 2019 5:02:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "If there's a silver lining from the mounting signs that the uncertainty caused by Brexit is holding back GDP growth, it's that the economy could enjoy a decent rebound if a Brexit deal is agreed," External link

4-traders Wednesday, February 13, 2019 4:59:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "If there's a silver lining from the mounting signs that the uncertainty caused by Brexit is holding back GDP growth, it's that the economy could enjoy a decent rebound if a Brexit deal is agreed," External link

trust2 Wednesday, February 13, 2019 4:28:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales added ( about The UK ) : “The economy could benefit from a release of pent up demand if a Brexit deal is agreed … In that case, GDP growth of 1.4 percent in 2018 could give way to 1.5 percent in 2019 and 2.2 percent in 2020,” External link

dailymaverick Tuesday, February 12, 2019 2:59:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales added ( about The UK ) : "The economy could benefit from a release of pent up demand if a Brexit deal is agreed … In that case, GDP growth of 1.4 percent in 2018 could give way to 1.5 percent in 2019 and 2.2 percent in 2020," External link

aljazeera-en Monday, February 11, 2019 9:55:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales prévenu : "L'incertitude du Brexit devrait peser encore davantage au premier trimestre, il y a peu de chance de rebond pour la croissance en ce début d'année" External link

msn-fr Monday, February 11, 2019 5:19:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales alertou : "A incerteza do Brexit deve pesar ainda mais no primeiro trimestre, uma vez que há poucas chances de retomada do crescimento no início deste ano" External link

clicrbs Monday, February 11, 2019 4:02:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales alertou : "A incerteza do Brexit deve pesar ainda mais no primeiro trimestre, uma vez que há poucas chances de retomada do crescimento no início deste ano" External link

afp-portugues Monday, February 11, 2019 3:43:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Once the Brexit fog clears ... we suspect the pound will rise to $1.45 by the end of next year," External link

deutschewelle-en Wednesday, January 23, 2019 6:56:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

mynews13 Saturday, January 19, 2019 12:33:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

brownsvilleherald Wednesday, January 16, 2019 6:02:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

nzherald Wednesday, January 16, 2019 5:46:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

actionnewsjax Wednesday, January 16, 2019 5:39:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

kiro7 Wednesday, January 16, 2019 5:37:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

muscatinejournal Wednesday, January 16, 2019 5:29:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

ABCnews Wednesday, January 16, 2019 5:29:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

wftv Wednesday, January 16, 2019 5:23:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

wsoctv Wednesday, January 16, 2019 5:08:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

missoulian Wednesday, January 16, 2019 5:02:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

eagletribune Wednesday, January 16, 2019 5:01:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : "The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March," External link

beaumontenterprise Wednesday, January 16, 2019 4:59:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales says : “The size of the defeat appears to reduce the chances of the U.K. leaving the EU without a deal on 29th March,” External link

therepublic Wednesday, January 16, 2019 4:20:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “It is possible that growth will slow further in Q1, as that is presumably when the Brexit uncertainty will be greatest. What happens next depends on Brexit. But at some point the pent-up investment and consumption demand will be released” External link

standard Friday, January 11, 2019 3:34:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “The Bank continued to hint that it could conceivably raise interest rates to curb inflation in the event of a no deal Brexit. But we and the markets believe it’s bluffing. To limit the temporary fallout to the economy, the Bank would surely cut rates swiftly,” External link

independent-UK Thursday, December 20, 2018 3:36:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The slump in the international trade surplus, to $0.1bn in October from $1.6bn in September (consensus $1.4bn) is due to the reduction in demand for iron ore and coal exports linked to the pollution crackdown in China and a rise in the cost of imported oil.," External link

smh Thursday, December 7, 2017 5:25:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Employment appears to have fallen in all states except Queensland and the ACT," "This is probably just payback from the incredibly strong run in recent months rather than anything to worry about too much" External link

abc-au Thursday, November 16, 2017 5:45:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The RBA's lower inflation forecasts may prompt some calls for the bank to cut interest rates below 1.5 per cent. That seems extremely unlikely without a major deterioration in the economic outlook and a rebound in the unemployment rate from 5.5 per cent to well above 6 per cent," External link

smh Friday, November 10, 2017 10:18:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "We don't think it is placing enough weight on the recent weakening in retail sales and softer news on inflation," External link

abc-au Tuesday, November 7, 2017 7:26:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "We don't think it is placing enough weight on the recent weakening in retail sales and softer news on inflation," External link

abc-au Tuesday, November 7, 2017 8:22:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “had seen a knee-jerk reaction on the uncertainty that came with the decision,” External link

marketwatch Friday, October 27, 2017 2:02:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "had seen a knee-jerk reaction on the uncertainty that came with the decision," External link

4-traders Friday, October 27, 2017 9:18:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "That's not going to change soon, which is why we believe the RBA won't raise interest rates from their current record low of 1.5 per cent at all next year," External link

abc-au Thursday, October 26, 2017 2:41:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "If the new government then selects a new RBNZ governor in March who agrees with such shift of emphasis, then monetary policy would presumably be looser than otherwise," External link

smh Friday, October 20, 2017 1:46:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales added : "The resulting fall in interest rate expectations would remove some support for the Australian dollar. If we are also right in expecting interest rate expectations in the US to rise and the iron ore price to fall, then a perfect storm could weaken the Australian dollar from US78¢ now to around US70¢ next year," External link

smh Thursday, October 12, 2017 10:30:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "More money going on servicing a mortgage means there is less to spend elsewhere, dragging on economic growth," External link

independent-ie Thursday, October 12, 2017 5:35:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "More money going on servicing a mortgage means there is less to spend elsewhere, dragging on economic growth," External link

todayonline Thursday, October 5, 2017 9:38:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "That said, we don't think the RBA will go as far as signalling that it will soon be ready to raise rates ," External link

smh Monday, October 2, 2017 3:49:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "That said, we don't think the RBA will go as far as signalling that it will soon be ready to raise rates ," External link

smh Monday, October 2, 2017 2:10:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales says : "It's an asymmetric event really," External link

smh Wednesday, September 20, 2017 8:38:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "It will probably all come down to how the next permanent governor decides to interpret any changes," External link

smh Friday, September 15, 2017 10:04:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "It will probably all come down to how the next permanent governor decides to interpret any changes," External link

smh Friday, September 15, 2017 7:25:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "It will probably all come down to how the next permanent governor decides to interpret any changes," External link

smh Friday, September 15, 2017 6:03:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The 0.8 percent q/q rise in GDP in the second quarter overstates the health of the economy as it needs to be taken in context of the weak 0.3 percent q/q rise in the first quarter," "The 0.6 percent q/q average of the two provides a better guide to the true trend, which suggests the economy is growing at a subdued rate of about 2.2 percent per year" External link

iran-daily Wednesday, September 6, 2017 9:05:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The rise in consumption was largely due to yet another fall in the saving rate, from 5.3 percent to 4.6 percent," "Households won't be willing to reduce it much further now that house prices are rising at a slower rate and may soon stagnate a weaker housing market will soon mean that dwellings investment becomes a persistent drag on growth" External link

iran-daily Wednesday, September 6, 2017 9:05:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "We suspect the combination of subdued GDP growth, low inflation and a growing focus on financial stability will mean it keeps rates there [at 1.5 per cent] for another two years yet," "Our forecast implies that the financial markets will eventually have to adjust their view that rates will start to rise late next year" External link

abc-au Tuesday, September 5, 2017 9:48:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "This election could have quite a dramatic impact on the economy, whereas most elections really don't," External link

channelnewsasia Friday, September 1, 2017 1:19:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Our forecast is that consumption growth will actually slow from 2.6 percent last year to 2 percent this year, which is basically the main reason we don't expect economic growth to be as good as the RBA expects over the next couple of years," "It is a big downside risk to the economy, and to the RBA's own forecasts as well" External link

xinhuanet_en Friday, August 11, 2017 10:37:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The fall in the trade surplus from a record high of $4.6 billion in December to just $0.9 billion in June is not a disaster as a lot of it is due to lower prices rather than lower export volumes," External link

abc-au Sunday, August 6, 2017 11:05:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales noted : "The recent strength of the dollar will prevent net exports from making a large contribution to GDP growth in the coming quarters too," External link

abc-au Sunday, August 6, 2017 11:05:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Interest rates have already diverged between the two countries for the last 15 months," "And while wage growth is growing quickly and could go a long way to solve Australia's inflation problem, it depends a lot on how businesses will react" External link

smh Thursday, March 2, 2017 2:56:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "We believe that GDP growth will be closer to 2.0% this year than 3.0% and that underlying inflation won't rise back to 2.0% until 2019," External link

xinhuanet_en Friday, February 10, 2017 11:03:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Even so, rates are more likely to fall this year than rise," "We still think there's a chance that a softer housing market will give the RBA a green light to try and raise underlying inflation to 2.0% faster by cutting rates to 1.0%" External link

xinhuanet_en Friday, February 10, 2017 11:03:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales told : "While the RBA today left rates at 1.5 percent, I suspect they may yet be forced to reduce them to 1 percent later this year," External link

xinhuanet_en Tuesday, February 7, 2017 1:18:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "We expect that the RBA's inflation forecasts will prove to be too high. Headline inflation will rise, but overseas inflation is likely to be stifled by the stronger dollar and commodity prices are unlikely to generate higher domestic demand or wage growth," External link

xinhuanet_en Friday, February 3, 2017 7:33:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "We expect that the RBA's inflation forecasts will prove to be too high. Headline inflation will rise, but overseas inflation is likely to be stifled by the stronger dollar and commodity prices are unlikely to generate higher domestic demand or wage growth," External link

xinhuanet_en Friday, February 3, 2017 7:33:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "We are expecting the price of iron ore and coal to fall back, so that would reduce the size of the trade surplus later this year," External link

xinhuanet_en Thursday, February 2, 2017 9:11:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Over time, with a reasonable lag, changes in the dollar tend to reduce the volume of exports and increase the volume of imports, we do know that the Australian dollar strengthened fairly sharply last year, so there could be a drag from that as well coming through sometime over the next six months," External link

xinhuanet_en Thursday, February 2, 2017 9:11:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales says : "If you look at Australia, it's been growing below the trend rate for six of the last eight years," External link

brisbanetimes Monday, January 23, 2017 8:21:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales says : "If you look at Australia, it's been growing below the trend rate for six of the last eight years," External link

smh Monday, January 23, 2017 8:16:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The rise in commodity prices that has generated the trade surplus has not resulted in much higher export volumes, and that's crucial for real GDP growth," External link

brisbanetimes Friday, January 6, 2017 7:10:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales commenté : "Il est clair que l'économie continue de bénéficier d'un solde migratoire positif élevé, de solides flux touristiques et de faibles taux d'intérêt" External link

lefigaro Thursday, December 22, 2016 11:28:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Nonetheless, the economy is clearly very strong it will probably continue to grow by an impressive 3.5 per cent next year. That would increase the chances that underlying inflation rises back to more acceptable rates," External link

brisbanetimes Thursday, December 22, 2016 3:33:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "I just don't think it can continue," External link

sltrib Wednesday, December 21, 2016 12:11:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "I just don't think it can continue, " External link

smh Wednesday, December 21, 2016 5:55:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The fairly optimistic comments on domestic activity are outdated as we found out the day after the December meeting that GDP fell by 0.5 percent q/q in the third quarter. The minutes confirm that the RBA had expected 'year-end growth…to decline before picking up,' but the drop in GDP was larger than the RBA expected," External link

cnbc Tuesday, December 20, 2016 10:11:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The RBA will surely have to sound a bit more cautious when it next meets in early February and will probably revise down its 2017 GDP growth forecast," External link

cnbc Tuesday, December 20, 2016 10:11:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : “it probably won’t be long before one or two of the ratings agencies withdraw their ‘AAA’ rating” “The treasurer has admitted that in the four financial years starting 2016-2017 the budget deficit will be around US$10 billion higher than forecast in May’s budget,” External link

taipeitimes Monday, December 19, 2016 10:03:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : "it probably won’t be long before one or two of the ratings agencies withdraw their AAA rating" "The treasurer has admitted that in the four financial years starting 2016-17 the budget deficit will be around $10 billion higher than forecast in May’s budget," External link

naharnet-en Monday, December 19, 2016 12:09:00 PM EAT

Paul Dales said : “it probably won’t be long before one or two of the ratings agencies withdraw their AAA rating” “The treasurer has admitted that in the four financial years starting 2016-17 the budget deficit will be around $10 billion higher than forecast in May’s budget,” External link

manilatimes Monday, December 19, 2016 10:41:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "it probably won’t be long before one or two of the ratings agencies withdraw their AAA rating" "The treasurer has admitted that in the four financial years starting 2016-17 the budget deficit will be around $10 billion higher than forecast in May’s budget," External link

enca Monday, December 19, 2016 10:23:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "it probably won't be long before one or two of the ratings agencies withdraw their AAA rating" "The treasurer has admitted that in the four financial years starting 2016-17 the budget deficit will be around $10 billion higher than forecast in May's budget," External link

afp-en Monday, December 19, 2016 8:47:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "it probably won't be long before one or two of the ratings agencies withdraw their AAA rating" "The treasurer has admitted that in the four financial years starting 2016/17 the budget deficit will be around $10 billion higher than forecast in May's budget," External link

afp-en Monday, December 19, 2016 6:10:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "I just get the sense the ratings agencies are ready to do it finally and the Treasurer doesn't usually use this as a forum to change policy or announce new measures so I don't see what he could do," External link

brisbanetimes Sunday, December 18, 2016 9:06:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "My sense is weaker wage growth and a weaker economic backdrop would offset any boost from high commodity prices. The Treasurer should conclude that the budget deficit is going to be bigger in each of the next four years," "It looks extremely careless to be the first government in 30 years to lose the triple-A rating. That will pretty much go on your Wikipedia page and stay on it" External link

brisbanetimes Sunday, December 18, 2016 9:06:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "The theory here is, if the government is not rated as strongly, it's going to be harder for them to bail out the banks or the states," External link

brisbanetimes Sunday, December 18, 2016 9:06:00 AM EAT

Paul Dales said : "Governments around the world have been faced with the lowest borrowing costs in a couple of generations and they've not done anything with it. Especially a country like Australia whose fiscal situation isn't that dire," "It should have seen the opportunity" External link

brisbanetimes Sunday, December 18, 2016 9:06:00 AM EAT



Key Titles and Phrases Count Lang Last Seen
economist60.06%EN10/25/201725/10/2017
chief7.54%EN10/20/201720/10/2017
analyst2.07%EN10/20/201720/10/2017
economics analyst1.63%EN10/20/201720/10/2017
economics economist7.40%EN10/19/201719/10/2017
chief australian0.59%EN10/12/201712/10/2017
economist for australia2.96%EN03/22/201722/03/2017
manager0.89%EN12/10/201610/12/2016
économiste9.02%FR09/07/201607/09/2016
senior economist3.25%EN03/17/201517/03/2015
économiste de capital2.37%FR08/13/201413/08/2014
chief u.s.0.44%EN04/16/201416/04/2014
juge1.04%FR01/16/201416/01/2014
autre économiste0.74%FR08/13/201313/08/2013
Names Lang Count
Paul DalesEN65.82%
Paul DalesFR18.87%
Paul DalesPT15.30%


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